Check Your Understanding
Describe the balance of trade. What factors contribute to our trade deficit?
Mexican immigrants working in the United States often send money back home (known as remittances) to help their families or to add to their savings account for the future. In 2012, these remittances surpassed $22 billion. How are these transfers recorded in the balance of payments accounts?
What is the important difference between the current account and the capital account, given that the sum of the two values must equal 0?
If the euro appreciates by 30%, what will happen to imports of Mercedes-Benz automobiles in the United States?
Describe the difference between fixed and flexible exchange rates.
Describe the difference between the nominal and real exchange rates. What does rising inflation do to a country’s real exchange rate?
Apply the Concepts
Assume that global warming and especially high temperatures in Northern California have rendered it impossible for wine grapes in the Napa Valley (and all over California) to grow properly. Unable to get California wines, demand jumps dramatically for Australian wines. How would this affect the Australian dollar? Is this good for other Australian exports?
If the European economies begin having a serious bout of stagflation—high rates of both unemployment and inflation—will this affect the value of the dollar? Explain.
Trace through the reasoning why monetary policy is enhanced by a flexible exchange rate system.
Zimbabwe devalued its currency in mid-2006, essentially turning a $20,000 Zimbabwe bill into a $20 bill. People were permitted only three weeks during which to turn in their old currency for new notes; individuals were limited to $150 a day and companies were restricted to $7,000 a day. Who do you think were the losers from this devaluation, especially considering the limited turn-in period for the old currency?
Exchange rates and purchasing power parity should be the same between countries. If it costs 300 U.S. dollars to purchase an iPad in the United States and 400 Australian dollars to purchase one in Sydney, then the exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar should be 4:3. Why might purchasing power parity be different from the exchange rate?
When the dollar gets stronger against the major foreign currencies, does the price of French wine rise or fall in the United States? Would this be a good time to travel to Australia? What happens to U.S. exports?
In the News
In the latter half of 2012, the worldwide musical hit Gangnam Style by South Korean K-pop singer Psy, contributed to a boost in tourism to South Korea (“Gangnam Brings Fans—and Tourism Revenue—to Korea,” CNBC.com, January 23, 2013). Record numbers of tourists from China, Japan, and even the United States wanting to see the Gangnam district in person helped South Korea’s economy in 2012. How does an increase in South Korean tourism affect the foreign exchange market for the South Korean won (its currency)?
The Eurozone crisis has led more than one nation to consider abandoning the euro and returning to its previous currency (“Pondering a Dire Day: Leaving the Euro,” New York Times, December 12, 2011). If a nation were to exit the Eurozone and significantly devalue its currency against the euro and other major currencies, what are some implications for trade, the current account, and the standard of living for its citizens?
Solving Problems
Assume that the following exchange rates prevail:
Suppose that you are given an opportunity to work in Tokyo over the summer as an English tutor, and you are provided with all living expenses and a 500,000-yen cash stipend which you plan to save and bring home. If the exchange rate is 103 yen per U.S. dollar, how much is your stipend worth in dollars if you traded your money right away? Suppose you predict that the exchange rate will change in the next few months to 92 yen per dollar. Would you receive more dollars if you wait until after the exchange rate changes?
According to By the Numbers, if approximately $4 trillion of currency is traded each day in foreign exchange markets, about how much of this is traded in U.S. dollars? Euros? Japanese yen?
According to By the Numbers, if you travel to Jordan to visit the archaeological site of Petra and exchange 200 U.S. dollars, about how many Jordanian dinars would you receive? If you had traveled to Petra last year, would the amount of money received for your $200 have been different?