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EXAMPLE 3 Small-sample sign test for the population median

For the data from Example 2, use the sign test to determine whether the population median M number of hurricane-related deaths per year is less than 50, using level of significance α=0.05.

Solution

From Example 1, we know that the data come from a random sample, which is the only condition for conducting the sign test. Thus, we may proceed.

  • Step 1 State the hypotheses. the hypotheses are

    H0:M=50versusHα:M<50

    where M represents the population median number of hurricane-related deaths per year.

  • Step 2 Find the critical value and state the rejection rule. The total number of plus signs and minus signs is n=7+1=8, which is not greater than 25, so we use the small-sample case. We have a one-tailed test, with α=0.05 and n=8, which gives us Scirt=1 (Figure 2). The rejection rule is to reject H0 if Sdata1.

    image
    FIGURE 2 Using Appendix Table I to find the critical value Scirt.
  • Step 3 Find the value of the test statistic. We have a left-tailed test, and so, from Table 3, our test statistic is

    Sdata=number of plus signs=1

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  • Step 4 State the conclusion and the interpretation. The value of our test statistic is Sdata=1, which is ≤1, so we reject H0. Evidence exists that the population median number of hurricane-related deaths is less than 50 per year.

NOW YOU CAN DO

Exercises 9–16.

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