Question 12.69

41. Assuming the same poll results as in Exercise 40, suppose that Gore offered the same deal to Nader, knowing that only one-third of Nader supporters would switch to him and the rest would not vote. However, suppose Gore also thought that if Nader dropped out, so would Buchanan, and all Buchanan supporters would vote for Bush. Should Gore set off this chain of events?

41.

No, Gore should not set off this chain of events. Gore would receive 1% percent of the electorate ( of the 3% of voters who prefer Nader). Bush would receive all of 2% of the electorate who vote for Buchanan. Gore and Bush would be tied, each receiving 49% of the electorate.