Question 15.52

20. You plan to manufacture a new product for sale next year, and you can decide to make either a small quantity, in anticipation of a poor economy and few sales, or a large quantity, hoping for brisk sales. Your expected profits are indicated in the following table.

Economy
Poor Good
Quantity Small $500,000 $300,000
Large $100,000 $900,000

If you want to avoid risk and believe that the economy is playing an optimal mixed strategy against you in a two-person zero-sum game, then what is your optimal mixed strategy and the resulting expected value? Discuss some alternative ways to go about making your decision.