Question 7.93

image 63. Though opinion polls usually make 95% confidence statements, some sample surveys use other confidence levels. The monthly unemployment rate, for example, is based on the CPS of about 50,000 households. The margin of error in the unemployment rate is announced as about ±0.15% with 90% confidence. Is the margin of error for 90% confidence larger or smaller than the margin of error for 95% confidence? Why? (Hint: Look again at Figure 7.12, on page 323.)

63.

The margin of error for 90% confidence comes from the central 90% of a normal sampling distribution. We need not go as far out to cover 90% of the distribution as to cover 95%. So the margin of error for 90% confidence is smaller than for 95% confidence.