Self Check Answers
The probabilities must add to 1. Because p1+p2+p3=1/2+1/3+p3=1, then p3=1/6. The expected value E=3 because E=p1s1+p2s2+p3s3=(1/2)4+(1/3)6+(1/6)(−6)=2+2+−1)=3.
Table 15.3 is rewritten with ordinal payoffs from Mark’s perspective in the payoff matrix to the left and from Lisa’s perspective in the payoff matrix to the right:
2 | 1 |
4 | 5 |
6 | 3 |
5 | 6 |
3 | 2 |
1 | 4 |
For a fixed row and a fixed column, the entries of the payoff matrices sum to 7.
When Anneliese, Binh, and Charlie have bids of $150, $301, and $100, respectively, then Binh gets the item, pays $150 (the second highest bid), and achieves a $200−$150=$50 payoff. Because Anneliese and Charlie don’t get the item and don’t pay anything, each receives a payoff of 0.
If Anneliese bids anything less than $301, then she will not get the item; this means that she has a payoff of 0. If she bids $301 or more, then she could receive the item and pay more than what it is worth to her. This is a negative payoff. Because she cannot increase her payoff, she has no desire to change her bid. Binh already gets the item, so bids above $150 do not change who gets the item or how much Binh pays. If Binh bids less than $150, then he doesn’t get the item and his payoff is 0. Binh doesn’t wish to risk bidding $150 and possibly not getting the item. Binh has no incentive to change his bid. Like Anneliese, if Charlie bids more than $301, he will win the stamp but pay too much for it. This result could occur if he bids $301, too. For bids less than $301, Charlie still doesn’t get the item and pays nothing. Charlie has no reason to change his bid, either.