Chapter 1. Mirror Experiment Activity for Fig. 47.8: Is it possible for an organism to coevolve with multiple species depending on selective pressures?

Testing Hypotheses: Variables

When performing experiments, researchers manipulate the test group differently from the control groups. This difference is known as a variable. There are two types of variables. An independent variable is the manipulation performed on the test group by the researchers. It is considered “independent” because the researchers could choose any variable they wish. The dependent variable is the effect that is being measured. It is considered “dependent” because the expectation is that it depends on the variable that was changed. In our example of the headache medicine, the independent variable is the type of medicine (new medicine, no medicine, placebo, or medicine known to be effective). The dependent variable is the presence or absence of headache following treatment.

In designing experiments, there is an additional issue to consider: the size of each of our groups. In order to draw conclusions from our data, we need to make sure that our results are valid and reproducible, and not merely the result of chance. One way to minimize the effect of chance is to include a large number of patients in each group. How many? The sample size is the number of independent data points and is determined based on probability and statistics, the subject of the next primer.

Testing Hypotheses: Controls

Hypotheses can be tested in various ways. One way is through additional observations. There are a large number of endemic species on the Galápagos Islands. We might ask why and hypothesize that it has something to do with the location of the islands relative to the mainland. To test our hypothesis, we might make additional observations. We could count the number of endemic species on many different islands, calculate the size of each of these islands, and measure the distance from the nearest mainland. From these observations, we can understand the conditions that lead to endemic species on islands.

Hypotheses can also be tested through controlled experiments. In a controlled experiment, several different groups are tested simultaneously, keeping as many variables the same among them. In one group, a single variable is changed, allowing the researcher to see if that variable has an effect on the results of the experiment. This is called the test group. In another group, the variable is not changed and no effect is expected. This group is called the negative control. Finally, in a third group, a variable is introduced that has a known effect to be sure that the experiment is working properly. This group is called the positive control.

Controls such as negative and positive control groups are operations or observations that are set up in such a way that the researcher knows in advance what result should be expected if everything in the study is working properly. Controls are performed at the same time and under the same conditions as an experiment to verify the reliability of the components of the experiment, the methods, and analysis.

For example, going back to our example of a new medicine that might be effective against headaches, you could design an experiment in which there are three groups of patients—one group receives the medicine (the test group), one group receives no medicine (the negative control group), and one group receives a medicine that is already known to be effective against headaches (the positive control group). All of the other variables, such as age, gender, and socioeconomic background, would be similar among the three groups.

These three groups help the researchers to make sense of the data. Imagine for a moment that there was just the test group with no control groups, and the headaches went away after treatment. You might conclude that the medicine alleviates headaches. But perhaps the headaches just went away on their own. The negative control group helps you to see what would happen without the medicine so you can determine which effects in the test group are due solely to the medicine.

In some cases, researchers control not just for the medicine (one group receives medicine and one does not), but also for the act of giving a medicine. In this case, one negative control involves giving no medicine, and another involves giving a placebo, which is a sugar pill with no physiological effect. In this way, the researchers control for the potential variable of taking medication. In general, for a controlled experiment, it is important to be sure that there is only one difference between the test and control groups.