EXAMPLE 4.29

The mean of first digits that follow Benford’s law. Here is the distribution of the first digit for data that follow Benford’s law. We use the letter V for this random variable to distinguish it from the one that we studied in Example 4.28. The distribution of V is

First digit V 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Probability 0.301 0.176 0.125 0.097 0.079 0.067 0.058 0.051 0.046

The mean of V is

μV = (1)(0.301) + (2)(0.176) + (3)(0.125) + (4)(0.097) + (5)(0.079)

+ (6)(0.067) + (7)(0.058) + (8)(0.051) + (9)(0.046)

= 3.441

The mean reflects the greater probability of smaller first digits under Benford’s law than when first digits 1 to 9 are equally likely.