EXAMPLE 4.29
The mean of first digits that follow Benford’s law. Here is the distribution of the first digit for data that follow Benford’s law. We use the letter V for this random variable to distinguish it from the one that we studied in Example 4.28. The distribution of V is
First digit V | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
Probability | 0.301 | 0.176 | 0.125 | 0.097 | 0.079 | 0.067 | 0.058 | 0.051 | 0.046 |
The mean of V is
μV = (1)(0.301) + (2)(0.176) + (3)(0.125) + (4)(0.097) + (5)(0.079)
+ (6)(0.067) + (7)(0.058) + (8)(0.051) + (9)(0.046)
= 3.441
The mean reflects the greater probability of smaller first digits under Benford’s law than when first digits 1 to 9 are equally likely.