EXAMPLE 7.18

Calcium and blood pressure. Does increasing the amount of calcium in our diet reduce blood pressure? Examination of a large sample of people revealed a relationship between calcium intake and blood pressure, but such observational studies do not establish causation. Animal experiments, however, showed that calcium supplements do reduce blood pressure in rats, justifying an experiment with human subjects. A randomized comparative experiment gave one group of 10 black men a calcium supplement for 12 weeks. The control group of 11 black men received a placebo that appeared identical. (In fact, a block design with black and white men as the blocks was used. We will look only at the results for blacks because the earlier survey suggested that calcium is more effective for blacks.) The experiment was double-blind. Table 7.4 gives the seated systolic (heart contracted) blood pressure for all subjects at the beginning and end of the 12-week period, in millimeters of mercury (mm Hg). Because the researchers were interested in decreasing blood pressure, Table 7.4 also shows the decrease for each subject. An increase appears as a negative entry.27

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Table : TABLE 7.4 Seated Systolic Blood Pressure (mm Hg)
Calcium Group Placebo Group
Begin End Decrease Begin End Decrease
107 100 7 123 124 −1
110 114 −4 109 97 12
123 105 18 112 113 −1
129 112 17 102 105 −3
112 115 −3 98 95 3
111 116 −5 114 119 −5
107 106 1 119 114 5
112 102 10 114 112 2
136 125 11 110 121 −11
102 104 −2 117 118 −1
130 133 −3