SECTION 2.7 EXERCISES

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Question 2.131

2.131 Examples of association. Give three examples of association: one due to causation, one due to common response, and one due to confounding. Use your examples to write a short paragraph explaining the differences among these three explanations for an observed association.

Question 2.132

2.132 The five criteria for establishing causation. Consider the five criteria for establishing causation. Explain how each of these, if not established seriously, weakens the case that an association is due to causation.

Question 2.133

2.133 Iron and anemia. A lack of adequate iron in the diet is associated with anemia, a condition in which the body does not have enough red blood cells. However, anemia is also associated with malaria and infections with worms called helminths. Discuss these observed associations using the framework of Figure 2.31 (page 149).

Question 2.134

2.134 Stress and lack of sleep in college students. Studies of college students have shown that stress and lack of sleep are associated. Do you think that lack of sleep causes stress or that stress causes lack of sleep? Write a short paragraph summarizing your opinions.

Question 2.135

2.135 Online courses. Many colleges offer online versions of some courses that are also taught in the classroom. It often happens that the students who enroll in the online version do better than the classroom students on the course exams. This does not show that online instruction is more effective than classroom teaching because the people who sign up for online courses are often quite different from the classroom students. Suggest some student characteristics that you think could be confounded with online versus classroom. Use a diagram like Figure 2.31(c) to illustrate your ideas.

Question 2.136

2.136 Marriage and income. Data show that men who are married, and also divorced or widowed men, earn quite a bit more than men who have never been married. This does not mean that a man can raise his income by getting married. Suggest several lurking variables that you think are confounded with marital status and that help explain the association between marital status and income. Use a diagram like Figure 2.31(c) to illustrate your ideas.

Question 2.137

2.137 Exercise and self-confidence. A college fitness center offers an exercise program for staff members who choose to participate. The program assesses each participant’s fitness, using a treadmill test, and also administers a personality questionnaire. There is a moderately strong positive correlation between fitness score and score for self-confidence. Is this good evidence that improving fitness increases self-confidence? Explain why or why not.

Question 2.138

2.138 Computer chip manufacturing and miscarriages. A study showed that women who work in the production of computer chips have abnormally high numbers of miscarriages. The union claimed that exposure to chemicals used in production caused the miscarriages. Another possible explanation is that these workers spend most of their work time standing up. Illustrate these relationships in a diagram like one of those in Figure 2.31.

Question 2.139

2.139 Hospital size and length of stay. A study shows that there is a positive correlation between the size of a hospital (measured by its number of beds x) and the median number of days y that patients remain in the hospital. Does this mean that you can shorten a hospital stay by choosing a small hospital? Use a diagram like one of those in Figure 2.31 to explain the association.

Question 2.140

2.140 Watching TV and low grades. Children who watch many hours of television get lower grades in school, on average, than those who watch less TV. Explain clearly why this fact does not show that watching TV causes poor grades. In particular, suggest some other variables that may be confounded with heavy TV viewing and may contribute to poor grades.

Question 2.141

2.141 Artificial sweeteners. People who use artificial sweeteners in place of sugar tend to be heavier than people who use sugar. Does this mean that artificial sweeteners cause weight gain? Give a more plausible explanation for this association.

Question 2.142

2.142 Exercise and mortality. A sign in a fitness center says, “Mortality is halved for men over 65 who walk at least 2 miles a day.”

  1. (a) Mortality is eventually 100% for everyone. What do you think “mortality is halved” means?

  2. (b) Assuming that the claim is true, explain why this fact does not show that exercise causes lower mortality.

Question 2.143

2.143 Effect of a math skills refresher initiative. Students enrolling in an elementary statistics course take a pretest that assesses their math skills. Those who receive low scores are given the opportunity to take three one-hour refresher sessions designed to review the basic math skills needed for the statistics course. Those who took the refresher sessions performed worse than those who did not on the final exam in the statistics course. Can you conclude that the refresher course has a negative impact on performance in the statistics course? Explain your answer.