CONTENTS

Preface xvii

part1 What Is Economics?

introductionThe Ordinary Business of Life

1

ANY GIVEN SUNDAY 1

The Invisible Hand 2

My Benefit, Your Cost 3

Good Times, Bad Times 3

Onward and Upward 4

An Engine for Discovery 4

chapter1First Principles

5

COMMON GROUND 5

Principles That Underlie Individual Choice: The Core of Economics 6

  • Principle #1: Choices Are Necessary Because Resources Are Scarce 6

    Principle #2: The True Cost of Something Is Its Opportunity Cost 7

    Principle #3: “How Much” Is a Decision at the Margin 8

    Principle #4: People Usually Respond to Incentives, Exploiting Opportunities to Make Themselves Better Off 9

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Cashing In at School 10

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Boy or Girl? It Depends on the Cost 10

Interaction: How Economies Work 12

  • Principle #5: There Are Gains from Trade 12

    Principle #6: Markets Move Toward Equilibrium 13

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Choosing Sides 14

  • Principle #7: Resources Should Be Used Efficiently to Achieve Society’s Goals 15

    Principle #8: Markets Usually Lead to Efficiency 16

    Principle #9: When Markets Don’t Achieve Efficiency, Government Intervention Can Improve Society’s Welfare 16

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Restoring Equilibrium on the Freeways 17

Economy-Wide Interactions 18

  • Principle #10: One Person’s Spending Is Another Person’s Income 18

    Principle #11: Overall Spending Sometimes Gets Out of Line with the Economy’s Productive Capacity 19

    Principle #12: Government Policies Can Change Spending 19

ECONOMICS IN ACTION Adventures in Babysitting 20

BUSINESS CASE: How Priceline.com Revolutionized the Travel Industry 21

chapter2Economics Models: Trade-offs and Trade

25

FROM KITTY HAWK TO DREAMLINER 25

Models in Economics: Some Important Examples 26

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: The Model That Ate the Economy 26

  • Trade-offs: The Production Possibility Frontier 27

    Comparative Advantage and Gains from Trade 33

    Comparative Advantage and International Trade, in Reality 36

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Pajama Republics 37

  • Transactions: The Circular-Flow Diagram 37

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Rich Nation, Poor Nation 39

Using Models 40

  • Positive versus Normative Economics 40

    When and Why Economists Disagree 41

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: When Economists Agree 42

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Economists, Beyond the Ivory Tower 43

BUSINESS CASE: Efficiency, Opportunity Cost, and the Logic of Lean Production 45

Chapter 2 APPENDIX Graphs in Economics

51

Getting the Picture 51

Graphs, Variables, and Economic Models 51

How Graphs Work 51

  • Two-Variable Graphs 51

    Curves on a Graph 53

A Key Concept: The Slope of a Curve 54

  • The Slope of a Linear Curve 54

    Horizontal and Vertical Curves and Their Slopes 55

    The Slope of a Nonlinear Curve 56

    Calculating the Slope Along a Nonlinear Curve 56

    Maximum and Minimum Points 58

Calculating the Area Below or Above a Curve 59

Graphs That Depict Numerical Information 60

  • Types of Numerical Graphs 60

    Problems in Interpreting Numerical Graphs 62

part2 Supply and Demand

chapter3Supply and Demand

67

A NATURAL GAS BOOM 67

Supply and Demand: A Model of a Competitive Market 68

The Demand Curve 69

  • The Demand Schedule and the Demand Curve 69

    Shifts of the Demand Curve 70

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Pay More, Pump Less 71

  • Understanding Shifts of the Demand Curve 73

ECONOMICS IN ACTION Beating the Traffic 78

The Supply Curve 79

  • The Supply Schedule and the Supply Curve 79

    Shifts of the Supply Curve 80

    Understanding Shifts of the Supply Curve 81

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Only Creatures Small and Pampered 85

Supply, Demand, and Equilibrium 86

  • Finding the Equilibrium Price and Quantity 86

    Why Do All Sales and Purchases in a Market Take Place at the Same Price? 87

    Why Does the Market Price Fall If It Is Above the Equilibrium Price? 88

    Why Does the Market Price Rise If It Is Below the Equilibrium Price? 88

    Using Equilibrium to Describe Markets 89

ECONOMICS IN ACTION The Price of Admission 89

Changes in Supply and Demand 90

  • What Happens When the Demand Curve Shifts 91

    What Happens When the Supply Curve Shifts 92

    Simultaneous Shifts of Supply and Demand Curves 93

FOR INQUIRING MINDS:Tribulations on the Runway 94

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Cotton Panic and Crash of 2011 95

Competitive Markets—And Others 96

BUSINESS CASE: An Uber Way to Get a Ride 97

chapter4Price Controls and Quotas: Meddling with Markets

103

BIG CITY, NOT-SO-BRIGHT IDEAS 103

Why Governments Control Prices 104

Price Ceilings 104

  • Modeling a Price Ceiling 105

    How a Price Ceiling Causes Inefficiency 106

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Mumbai’s Rent-Control Millionaires 109

  • So Why Are There Price Ceilings? 110

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Price Controls in Venezuela: “You Buy What They Have” 110

Price Floors 111

  • How a Price Floor Causes Inefficiency 113

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Check Out Our Low, Low Wages! 116

  • So Why Are There Price Floors? 116

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Rise and Fall of the Unpaid Intern 116

Controlling Quantities 118

  • The Anatomy of Quantity Controls 118

    The Costs of Quantity Controls 121

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Crabbing, Quotas, and Saving Lives in Alaska 122

BUSINESS CASE: Medallion Financial: Cruising Right Along 124

chapter5International Trade

131

THE EVERYWHERE PHONE 131

Comparative Advantage and International Trade 132

  • Production Possibilities and Comparative Advantage, Revisited 133

    The Gains from International Trade 135

    Comparative Advantage versus Absolute Advantage 136

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Productivity and Wages Around the World 137

  • Sources of Comparative Advantage 138

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Increasing Returns to Scale and International Trade 140

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  How Hong Kong Lost Its Shirts 140

Supply, Demand, and International Trade 141

  • The Effects of Imports 142

    The Effects of Exports 144

    International Trade and Wages 146

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Trade, Wages, and Land Prices in the Nineteenth Century 147

The Effects of Trade Protection 148

  • The Effects of a Tariff 148

    The Effects of an Import Quota 150

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Trade Protection in the United States 151

The Political Economy of Trade Protection 152

  • Arguments for Trade Protection 152

    The Politics of Trade Protection 152

    International Trade Agreements and the World Trade Organization 153

FOR INQUIRING MINDS:Tires Under Pressure 154

  • Challenges to Globalization 154

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Beefing Up Exports 156

BUSINESS CASE: Li & Fung: From Guangzhou to You 158

Chapter 5 APPENDIX Consumer and Producer Surplus

163

Consumer Surplus and the Demand Curve 163

  • Willingness to Pay and the Demand Curve 163

    Willingness to Pay and Consumer Surplus 164

Producer Surplus and the Supply Curve 165

  • Cost and Producer Surplus 165

The Gains from Trade 167

part3 Introduction to Macroeconomics

chapter6Macroeconomics: The Big Picture

169

THE PAIN IN SPAIN 169

The Nature of Macroeconomics 170

  • Macroeconomic Questions 170

    Macroeconomics: The Whole Is Greater Than the Sum of Its Parts 171

    Macroeconomics: Theory and Policy 171

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Fending Off Depression 172

The Business Cycle 173

  • Charting the Business Cycle 174

    The Pain of Recession 175

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Defining Recessions and Expansions 176

  • Taming the Business Cycle 177

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Slumps Across the Atlantic 177

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Comparing Recessions 178

Long-Run Economic Growth 178

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: When Did Long-Run Growth Start? 180

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  A Tale of Two Countries 180

Inflation and Deflation 181

  • The Causes of Inflation and Deflation 181

    The Pain of Inflation and Deflation 182

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  A Fast (Food) Measure of Inflation 182

International Imbalances 183

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Spain’s Costly Surplus 184

BUSINESS CASE: The Business Cycle and the Decline of Montgomery Ward 186

chapter7GDP and the CPI: Tracking the Macroeconomy

191

THE NEW #2 191

The National Accounts 192

  • The Circular-Flow Diagram, Revisited and Expanded 192

    Gross Domestic Product 195

    Calculating GDP 196

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Our Imputed Lives 197

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Gross What? 200

  • What GDP Tells Us 201

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Creating the National Accounts 201

Real GDP: A Measure of Aggregate Output 202

  • Calculating Real GDP 202

    What Real GDP Doesn’t Measure 203

GLOBAL COMPARISON: GDP and the Meaning of Life 204

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Miracle in Venezuela? 205

Price Indexes and the Aggregate Price Level 205

  • Market Baskets and Price Indexes 206

    The Consumer Price Index 207

    Other Price Measures 208

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Indexing to the CPI 209

BUSINESS CASE: Getting a Jump on GDP 211

chapter8Unemployment and Inflation

217

HITTING THE BRAKING POINT 217

The Unemployment Rate 218

  • Defining and Measuring Unemployment 218

    The Significance of the Unemployment Rate 219

    Growth and Unemployment 221

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Failure to Launch 223

The Natural Rate of Unemployment 224

  • Job Creation and Job Destruction 224

    Frictional Unemployment 225

    Structural Unemployment 227

    The Natural Rate of Unemployment 229

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Natural Unemployment Around the OECD 230

Changes in the Natural Rate of Unemployment 230

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Structural Unemployment in East Germany 232

Inflation and Deflation 233

  • The Level of Prices Doesn’t Matter… 233

    …But the Rate of Change of Prices Does 234

    Winners and Losers from Inflation 237

    Inflation Is Easy; Disinflation Is Hard 238

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Israel’s Experience with Inflation 239

BUSINESS CASE: Day Labor in the Information Age 240

part4 Long-Run Economic Growth

chapter9Long-Run Economic Growth

245

AIRPOCALYPSE NOW 245

Comparing Economies Across Time and Space 246

  • Real GDP per Capita 246

    Growth Rates 248

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  India Takes Off 249

The Sources of Long-Run Growth 250

  • The Crucial Importance of Productivity 250

    Explaining Growth in Productivity 251

    Accounting for Growth: The Aggregate Production Function 251

    What About Natural Resources? 255

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Is the End of Economic Growth in Sight? 256

Why Growth Rates Differ 257

  • Explaining Differences in Growth Rates 258

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Inventing R&D 259

GLOBAL COMPARISON: What’s the Matter with Italy? 260

  • The Role of Government in Promoting Economic Growth 260

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: The New Growth Theory 261

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Why Did Britain Fall Behind? 262

Success, Disappointment, and Failure 263

  • East Asia’s Miracle 264

    Latin America’s Disappointment 265

    Africa’s Troubles and Promise 265

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Are Economies Converging? 266

Is World Growth Sustainable? 268

  • Natural Resources and Growth, Revisited 268

    Economic Growth and the Environment 270

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Cost of Limiting Carbon 272

BUSINESS CASE: How Boeing Got Better 274

chapter10Savings, Investment Spending, and the Financial System

279

FUNDS FOR FACEBOOK 279

Matching Up Savings and Investment Spending 280

  • The Savings–Investment Spending Identity 280

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Who Enforces the Accounting? 283

  • The Market for Loanable Funds 284

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Using Present Value 285

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Sixty Years of U.S. Interest Rates 292

The Financial System 293

  • Three Tasks of a Financial System 294

    Types of Financial Assets 296

    Financial Intermediaries 297

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Bonds Versus Banks 299

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Banks and the South Korean Miracle 300

Financial Fluctuations 301

  • The Demand for Stocks 301

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: How Now, Dow Jones? 302

  • The Demand for Other Assets 303

    Asset Price Expectations 303

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Behavioral Finance 304

  • Asset Prices and Macroeconomics 305

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Great American Housing Bubble 306

BUSINESS CASE: Grameen Bank: Banking Against Poverty 308

Chapter 10 APPENDIX Toward a Fuller Understanding of Present Value

313

How to Calculate the Present Value of One-Year Projects 313

How to Calculate the Present Value of Multiyear Projects 313

How to Calculate the Present Value of Projects with Revenues and Costs 314

How to Calculate the Price of a Bond Using Present Value 315

How to Calculate the Price of a Share of Stock Using Present Value 316

part5 Short-Run Economic Fluctuations

chapter11Income and Expenditure

317

FROM BOOM TO BUST 317

The Multiplier: An Informal Introduction 318

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Sand State Slump 320

Consumer Spending 321

  • Current Disposable Income and Consumer Spending 321

    Shifts of the Aggregate Consumption Function 324

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Famous First Forecasting Failures 326

Investment Spending 327

  • The Interest Rate and Investment Spending 328

    Expected Future Real GDP, Production Capacity, and Investment Spending 329

    Inventories and Unplanned Investment Spending 330

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Interest Rates and the U.S. Housing Boom 331

The Income–Expenditure Model 332

  • Planned Aggregate Spending and Real GDP 333

    Income–Expenditure Equilibrium 334

    The Multiplier Process and Inventory Adjustment 336

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Inventories and the End of a Recession 339

BUSINESS CASE: What’s Good for America Is Good for GM 341

Chapter 11 APPENDIX Deriving the Multiplier Algebraically

347

chapter12Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply

349

WHAT KIND OF SHOCK? 349

Aggregate Demand 350

  • Why Is the Aggregate Demand Curve Downward Sloping? 351

    The Aggregate Demand Curve and the Income–Expenditure Model 352

    Shifts of the Aggregate Demand Curve 354

    Government Policies and Aggregate Demand 357

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Moving Along the Aggregate Demand Curve, 1979–1980 358

Aggregate Supply 358

  • The Short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve 359

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: What’s Truly Flexible, What’s Truly Sticky 360

  • Shifts of the Short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve 361

    The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve 364

    From the Short Run to the Long Run 366

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Sticky Wages in the Great Recession 367

The AD–AS Model 368

  • Short-Run Macroeconomic Equilibrium 368

    Shifts of Aggregate Demand: Short-Run Effects 369

    Shifts of the SRAS Curve 370

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Supply Shocks of the Twenty-first Century 372

  • Long-Run Macroeconomic Equilibrium 372

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Where’s the Deflation? 375

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Supply Shocks Versus Demand Shocks in Practice 375

Macroeconomic Policy 376

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Keynes and the Long Run 377

  • Policy in the Face of Demand Shocks 377

    Responding to Supply Shocks 378

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Is Stabilization Policy Stabilizing? 378

BUSINESS CASE: Slow Steaming 380

part6 Stabilization Policy

chapter13Fiscal Policy

385

HOW BIG IS BIG ENOUGH? 385

Fiscal Policy: The Basics 386

  • Taxes, Purchases of Goods and Services, Government Transfers, and Borrowing 386

    The Government Budget and Total Spending 387

    Expansionary and Contractionary Fiscal Policy 388

    Can Expansionary Fiscal Policy Actually Work? 390

    A Cautionary Note: Lags in Fiscal Policy 391

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  What Was in the Recovery Act? 392

Fiscal Policy and the Multiplier 393

  • Multiplier Effects of an Increase in Government Purchases of Goods and Services 393

    Multiplier Effects of Changes in Government Transfers and Taxes 394

    How Taxes Affect the Multiplier 395

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Austerity and the Multiplier 396

The Budget Balance 397

  • The Budget Balance as a Measure of Fiscal Policy 398

    The Business Cycle and the Cyclically Adjusted Budget Balance 398

    Should the Budget Be Balanced? 401

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Europe’s Search for a Fiscal Rule 401

Long-Run Implications of Fiscal Policy 402

  • Deficits, Surpluses, and Debt 403

GLOBAL COMPARISON: The American Way of Debt 404

  • Problems Posed by Rising Government Debt 405

    Deficits and Debt in Practice 406

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: What Happened to the Debt from World War II? 407

  • Implicit Liabilities 407

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Are We Greece? 409

BUSINESS CASE: Here Comes the Sun 411

Chapter 13 APPENDIX Taxes and the Multiplier

417

chapter14Money, Banking, and the Federal Reserve System

419

FUNNY MONEY 419

The Meaning of Money 420

  • What Is Money? 420

    Roles of Money 421

GLOBAL COMPARISON: The Big Moneys 421

  • Types of Money 422

    Measuring the Money Supply 423

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: What’s with All the Currency? 424

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The History of the Dollar 425

The Monetary Role of Banks 426

  • What Banks Do 426

    The Problem of Bank Runs 427

    Bank Regulation 428

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  It’s a Wonderful Banking System 429

Determining the Money Supply 430

  • How Banks Create Money 430

    Reserves, Bank Deposits, and the Money Multiplier 432

    The Money Multiplier in Reality 433

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Multiplying Money Down 434

The Federal Reserve System 435

  • The Structure of the Fed 435

    What the Fed Does: Reserve Requirements and the Discount Rate 436

    Open-Market Operations 437

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Who Gets the Interest on the Fed’s Assets? 439

  • The European Central Bank 439

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Fed’s Balance Sheet, Normal and Abnormal 440

The Evolution of the American Banking System 441

The Crisis in American Banking in the Early Twentieth Century 441

  • Responding to Banking Crises: The Creation of the Federal Reserve 442

    The Savings and Loan Crisis of the 1980s 444

    Back to the Future: The Financial Crisis of 2008 444

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Regulation After the 2008 Crisis 447

BUSINESS CASE: The Perfect Gift: Cash or a Gift Card? 449

chapter15Monetary Policy

455

THE MOST POWERFUL PERSON IN GOVERNMENT 455

The Demand for Money  456

  • The Opportunity Cost of Holding Money 456

    The Money Demand Curve 458

    Shifts of the Money Demand Curve 459

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  A Yen for Cash 460

Money and Interest Rates 461

  • The Equilibrium Interest Rate 461

    Two Models of Interest Rates? 463

    Monetary Policy and the Interest Rate 463

    Long-Term Interest Rates 465

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Fed Reverses Course 466

Monetary Policy and Aggregate Demand 467

  • Expansionary and Contractionary Monetary Policy 467

    Monetary Policy in Practice 468

    The Taylor Rule Method of Setting Monetary Policy 469

    Inflation Targeting 469

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Inflation Targets 470

  • The Zero Lower Bound Problem 471

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  What the Fed Wants, the Fed Gets 471

Money, Output, and Prices in the Long Run  472

  • Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of an Increase in the Money Supply 472

    Monetary Neutrality 474

    Changes in the Money Supply and the Interest Rate in the Long Run 474

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  International Evidence of Monetary Neutrality 475

BUSINESS CASE: PIMCO Bets on Cheap Money 477

Chapter 15 APPENDIX Reconciling the Two Models of the Interest Rate

481

  • The Interest Rate in the Short Run 481

    The Interest Rate in the Long Run 482

chapter16Inflation, Disinflation, and Deflation

485

BRINGING A SUITCASE TO THE BANK 485

Money and Inflation 486

  • The Classical Model of Money and Prices 486

    The Inflation Tax 488

    The Logic of Hyperinflation 489

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Zimbabwe’s Inflation 491

Moderate Inflation and Disinflation 491

  • The Output Gap and the Unemployment Rate 492

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Okun’s Law 494

  • The Short-Run Phillips Curve 494

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: The Aggregate Supply Curve and the Short-Run Phillips Curve 496

  • Inflation Expectations and the Short-Run Phillips Curve 497

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Phillips Curve in the Great Recession 499

Inflation and Unemployment in the Long Run 500

  • The Long-Run Phillips Curve 500

    The Natural Rate of Unemployment, Revisited 502

    The Costs of Disinflation 502

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Disinflation Around the World 502

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Great Disinflation of the 1980s 503

Deflation 504

  • Debt Deflation 504

    Effects of Expected Deflation 505

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Is Europe Turning Japanese? 506

BUSINESS CASE: Licenses to Print Money 508

chapter17Crises and Consequences

513

FROM PURVEYOR OF DRY GOODS TO DESTROYER OF WORLDS 513

Banking: Benefits and Dangers 514

  • The Trade-off Between Rate of Return and Liquidity 514

    The Purpose of Banking 515

    Shadow Banks and the Re-emergence of Bank Runs 516

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Day the Lights Went Out at Lehman 517

Banking Crises and Financial Panics 518

  • The Logic of Banking Crises 518

    Historical Banking Crises: The Age of Panics 520

    Modern Banking Crises Around the World 521

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Erin Go Broke 522

The Consequences of Banking Crises 523

  • Banking Crises, Recessions, and Recovery 523

    Why Are Banking-Crisis Recessions So Bad? 524

    Governments Step In 525

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Banks and the Great Depression 527

The 2008 Crisis and Its Aftermath 528

  • Severe Crisis, Slow Recovery 528

    Aftershocks in Europe 529

    The Stimulus–Austerity Debate 531

    The Lesson of the Post-Crisis Slump 532

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  If Only It Were the 1930s 532

Regulation in the Wake of the Crisis 533

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Bent Breaks the Buck 534

part7 Events and Ideas

chapter18Macroeconomics: Events and Ideas

539

A TALE OF TWO SLUMPS 539

Classical Macroeconomics 540

  • Money and the Price Level 540

    The Business Cycle 540

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  When Did the Business Cycle Begin? 540

The Great Depression and the Keynesian Revolution 541

  • Keynes’s Theory 542

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: The Politics of Keynes 543

  • Policy to Fight Recessions  544

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The End of the Great Depression 544

Challenges to Keynesian Economics 545

  • The Revival of Monetary Policy 545

    Monetarism 546

    Limits to Macroeconomic Policy: Inflation and the Natural Rate of Unemployment 549

    The Political Business Cycle 549

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Fed’s Flirtation with Monetarism 550

Rational Expectations, Real Business Cycles, and New Classical Macroeconomics 550

  • Rational Expectations 551

    Real Business Cycles 552

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Supply-Side Economics 552

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The 1970s in Reverse 553

Consensus and Conflict in Modern Macroeconomics 554

  • Question 1: Is Expansionary Monetary Policy Helpful in Fighting Recessions? 554

    Question 2: Is Expansionary Fiscal Policy Effective in Fighting Recessions? 555

    Question 3: Can Monetary and/or Fiscal Policy Reduce Unemployment in the Long Run? 555

    Question 4: Should Fiscal Policy Be Used in a Discretionary Way? 555

    Question 5: Should Monetary Policy Be Used in a Discretionary Way? 556

Crises and Aftermath 556

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Lats of Luck 558

part8 The Open Economy

chapter19Open-Economy Macroeconomics

563

SWITZERLAND DOESN’T WANT YOUR MONEY 563

Capital Flows and the Balance of Payments 564

  • Balance of Payments Accounts 564

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: GDP, GNP, and the Current Account 566

  • Modeling the Financial Account 568

GLOBAL COMPARISON: Big Surpluses 569

  • Underlying Determinants of International Capital Flows 571

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: A Global Savings Glut? 571

  • Two-Way Capital Flows 572

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Golden Age of Capital Flows 572

The Role of the Exchange Rate 573

  • Understanding Exchange Rates 574

    The Equilibrium Exchange Rate 574

    Inflation and Real Exchange Rates 577

    Purchasing Power Parity 579

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: Burgernomics 579

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  Low-Cost America 580

Exchange Rate Policy 581

  • Exchange Rate Regimes 582

    How Can an Exchange Rate Be Held Fixed? 582

    The Exchange Rate Regime Dilemma 584

FOR INQUIRING MINDS: From Bretton Woods to the Euro 584

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  China Pegs the Yuan 585

Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Policy 586

  1. Devaluation and Revaluation of Fixed Exchange Rates 586

    Monetary Policy Under Floating Exchange Rates 587

    International Business Cycles 588

ECONOMICS IN ACTION  The Little Currency That Could 589

BUSINESS CASE: A Yen for Japanese Cars 591

Macroeconomic Data Tables M-1

Solutions to “Check Your Understanding” Questions S-1

Glossary G-1

Index I-1