Endogenous Variables |
|
Yt |
Output |
πt |
Inflation |
rt |
Real interest rate |
it |
Nominal interest rate |
Etπt+1 |
Expected inflation |
Exogenous Variables |
|
Natural level of output |
πt* |
Central bank’s target for inflation |
ϵt |
Shock to the demand for goods and services |
vt |
Shock to the Phillips curve (supply shock) |
Predetermined Variable |
πt–1 |
Previous period’s inflation |
Parameters |
α |
The responsiveness of the demand for goods and services to the real interest rate |
ρ |
The natural rate of interest |
ϕ |
The responsiveness of inflation to output in the Phillips curve |
θπ |
The responsiveness of the nominal interest rate to inflation in the monetary-policy rule |
θY |
The responsiveness of the nominal interest rate to output in the monetary-policy rule |