Chapter 5 Introduction

99

CHAPTER 5

Sampling and Probability

Samples and Their Populations

Random Sampling

Convenience Sampling

The Problem with a Biased Sample

Random Assignment

Probability

Coincidence and Probability

Expected Relative-Frequency Probability

Independence and Probability

Inferential Statistics

Developing Hypotheses

Making a Decision About the Hypothesis

Type I and Type II Errors

Type I Errors

Type II Errors

BEFORE YOU GO ON

  • You should understand the difference between a sample and a population (Chapter 1).

  • You should know how to measure central tendency, especially the mean (Chapter 4).

100

image
Lillian and Frank Gilbreth and Their Children Sampling is a way to do things more efficiently, based on principles that Lillian Gilbreth—a pioneer in the field of industrial and organizational psychology—and her husband Frank applied to raising a happy if occasionally chaotic family. Eleven of their twelve children are pictured here.
© Bettmann/CORBIS

Lillian Gilbreth, a pioneer in the field of industrial and organizational psychology, was such an introverted little girl that her parents homeschooled her until she was 9 years old. That home was a busy place, and little Lillian, the eldest of 9 children, often filled in for her ill mother. The hectic pace of life that had begun during Lillian’s childhood kept up for the rest of her life. She and her husband Frank ­Gilbreth, both of them efficiency experts, created a ­consulting business and had 12 children. The couple pioneered the use of filming people at work in order to analyze the motions needed to perform a task more efficiently, and applied those same principles to helping their children manage their lives more effectively. The family’s lifestyle inspired two of the children to later write the book Cheaper By the Dozen, which also became a popular film.

After Frank died at a relatively young age, ­Lillian continued to support her family as an industrial consultant. She did this in an era that allowed only her husband’s name to appear on the books they wrote together, out of fear of losing credibility if publishers advertised a female author! Frank had never earned a degree, but Lillian had a master’s degree from the University of California, Berkeley, and a PhD from Brown.

The San Diego Supercomputer Center described Lillian Gilbreth as “a genius in the art of living.” Her ability to think scientifically also helped her create small and large innovations for the home and workplace. Foot pedals on garbage cans? Thank Lillian Gilbreth. The “work triangle” in efficiency kitchens? Thank Lillian Gilbreth. The driving idea behind all these ideas was human efficiency. Efficiency is the ­driving idea behind sampling, as well. Why work harder when an easier way is readily available? Why study 400,000 people if 400 people, sampled properly, will yield the same information?