Question
15.31
Debunking astrology with correlation: The New York Times reported that an officer of the International Society for Astrological Research, Anne Massey, stated that a certain phase of the planet Mercury, the retrograde phase, leads to breakdowns in areas as wide-ranging as communication and travel (Newman, 2006). The Times reporter, Andy Newman, documented the likelihood of breakdown on a number of variables, and discovered that, contrary to Massey’s hypothesis, New Jersey Transit commuter trains were less likely to be late, although by just 0.4%, during the retrograde phase. On the other hand, consistent with Massey’s hypothesis, the rate of baggage complaints at LaGuardia airport increased a tiny amount during retrograde periods. Newman’s findings were contradictory across all examined variables—rates of theft, computer crashes, traffic disruptions, delayed plane arrivals— with some variables backing Massey and others not. Transportation statistics expert Bruce Schaller said, “If all of this is due to randomness, that’s the result you’d expect.” Astrologer Massey counters that the pattern she predicts would only emerge across thousands of years of data.
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Question
15.32
Obesity, age at death, and correlation: In a newspaper column, Paul Krugman (2006) mentioned obesity (as measured by body mass index) as a possible correlate of age at death.
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Question
15.33
Exercise, number of friends, and correlation: Does the amount that people exercise correlate with the number of friends they have? The accompanying table contains data collected in some of our statistics classes. The first and third columns show hours exercised per week and the second and fourth columns show the number of close friends reported by each participant.
Hours of Exercise |
Number of Friends |
Hours of Exercise |
Number of Friends |
1 |
4 |
8 |
4 |
0 |
3 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
10 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
1 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
2 |
6 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
3 |
5 |
1 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
|
|
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- 5p6jxWRpRXX18F4VztQWnSIevWu8PByMN+nt94VTSU83HBGJX8BX6PvH3AjdGbEOlfVRtR3oPN6uf2krtY4zGLiRs7/IXa2dHpfuB6A4tTMj7GPftDWEfhJD4wPZAXtPeiGOmw==
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Question
15.34
Externalizing behavior, anxiety, and correlation:
A study on the relation between rejection and depression in adolescents (Nolan, Flynn, & Garber, 2003) also collected data on externalizing behaviors (e.g., acting out in negative ways, such as causing fights) and anxiety. They wondered whether externalizing behaviors were related to feelings of anxiety. Some of the data are presented in the accompanying table.
Externalizing Behaviors |
Anxiety |
Externalizing Behaviors |
Anxiety |
9 |
37 |
6 |
33 |
7 |
23 |
2 |
26 |
7 |
26 |
6 |
35 |
3 |
21 |
6 |
23 |
11 |
42 |
9 |
28 |
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Question
15.35
8fVxVUdfbNZCjkU1+Xue1l/yFkRLryJeENQoz1KoVtARNu53gmT3Nmlz2tJYB1evZ4HPBTjzvjCbNC8Q6ty7PghEzWHLvoH7o7mC7e/Q9GKNISii1Tm8kwjthLmtiI9rQen4FW0oldP0AzswvLeRSEmV30VirBOlqsIErs8thsn8CCAgS4OYeKIpwl+gLHJCfEX+f3ckCKSA78Vx4y+hXiOm7SAMi1b+1EeU5R6QndugI20mC7QE4zVOvAZmAiCfu4mxOeD1GNiBuh3kzDRUge9rVmoUXSdv5ptzzSX8atvevGD3jP3jr2550dwoz2ilps6D9A==
Question
15.36
Direction of a correlation: For each of the following pairs of variables, would you expect a positive correlation or a negative correlation between the two variables? Explain your answer.
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Question
15.37
Cats, mental health problems, and the direction of a correlation: You may be aware of the stereotype about the “crazy” person who owns a lot of cats. Have you wondered whether the stereotype is true? As a researcher, you decide to assess 100 people on two variables: (1) the number of cats they own, and (2) their level of mental health problems (a higher score indicates more problems).
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Question
15.38
Cats, mental health problems, and scatterplots: Consider the scenario in Exercise 15.37 again. The two variables under consideration were (1) number of cats owned, and (2) level of mental health problems (with a higher score indicating more problems). Each possible relation between these variables would be represented by a different scatterplot. Using data for approximately 10 participants, draw a scatterplot that depicts a correlation between these variables for each of the following:
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- RGhso42JlE4anNwXX7JyRXKVXW+v9RCA5U2LN7l5nmD2DRHRJper7f+5lV5ItqQA
- K/8PR1wmd6X+BMQGOt5e0SHzKep2Xhd6v29dIHUlls///37m+B9i4ejIP9I8t767
- W2OME9R78n/Yqlj4cA9wxgZ+dNRXrdEkfdzn/9x6qhCFhdO2bkAbwrSG1XPttcvy
Question
15.39
Trauma, femininity, and correlation: Graduate student Angela Holiday (2007) conducted a study examining perceptions of combat veterans suffering from mental illness. Participants read a description of either a male or female soldier who had recently returned from combat in Iraq and who was suffering from depression. Participants rated the situation (combat in Iraq) with respect to how traumatic they believed it was; they also rated the combat veterans on a range of variables, including scales that assessed how masculine and how feminine they perceived the person to be. Among other analyses, Holiday examined the relation between the perception of the situation as traumatic and the perception of the veteran as being masculine or feminine. When the person was male, the perception of the situation as traumatic was strongly positively correlated with the perception of the man as feminine but was only weakly positively correlated with the perception of the man as masculine. What would you expect when the person was female? The accompanying table presents some of the data for the perception of the situation as traumatic (on a scale of 1–10, with 10 being the most traumatic) and the perception of the woman as feminine (on a scale of 1–10, with 10 being the most feminine).
Perceived Trauma |
Perceived Femininity |
5 |
6 |
6 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
5 |
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Question
15.40
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
Question
15.41
Trauma, masculinity, and correlation: See the description of Holiday’s experiment in Exercise 15.39. We calculated the correlation coefficient for the relation between the perception of a situation as traumatic and the perception of a woman’s femininity. Now let’s look at data to examine the relation between the perception of a situation as traumatic and the perception of a woman’s masculinity (on a scale of 1–10, with 10 being the most masculine).
Perceived Trauma |
Perceived Masculinity |
5 |
3 |
6 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
5 |
2 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
3 |
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Question
15.42
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
Question
15.43
Traffic, running late, and bias: A friend tells you that there is a correlation between how late she’s running and the amount of traffic. Whenever she’s going somewhere and she’s behind schedule, there’s a lot of traffic. And when she has plenty of time, the traffic is sparser. She tells you that this happens no matter what time of day she’s traveling or where she’s going. She concludes that she’s cursed with respect to traffic.
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Question
15.44
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
Question
15.45
Driving a convertible, correlation, and causality: How safe are convertibles? USA Today (Healey, 2006) examined the pros and cons of convertible automobiles. The Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, the newspaper reported, determined that, depending on the model, 52 to 99 drivers of 1 million registered convertibles died in a car crash. The average rate of deaths for all passenger cars was 87. “Counter to conventional wisdom,” the reporter wrote, “convertibles generally aren’t unsafe.”
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Question
15.46
Standardized tests, correlation, and causality: A New York Times editorial (“Public vs. Private Schools,” 2006) cited a finding by the U.S. Department of Education that standardized test scores were significantly higher among students in private schools than among students in public schools.
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Question
15.47
Arts education, correlation, and causality: The Broadway musical Annie and the Entertainment Industry Foundation teamed up to promote arts education programs for underserved children. In an ad in the New York Times, they said, “Students in arts education programs perform better and stay in school longer.”
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Question
15.48
Facebook likes and correlation: Be careful what you “like.” Researchers examined the relations between the number of Facebook “likes” a person has posted and the researchers’ ability to correctly identify various characteristics of the person, including gender, age, sexual orientation, ethnicity, religion, political beliefs, personality traits, and intelligence (Kosinski, Stillwell, & Graepel, 2013). The graph below shows the relations between number of likes and accuracy of identifying gender, age, and the personality characteristic of openness, respectively.
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Question
15.49
Athletes’ grades, scatterplots, and correlation: At the university level, the stereotype of the “dumb jock” might be strong and ever present; however, a fair amount of research shows that athletes maintain decent grades and competitive graduation rates when compared to nonathletes. Let’s play with some data to explore the relation between grade point average (GPA) and participation in athletics. Data are presented here for a hypothetical basketball team, including the GPA on a scale of 0.00 to 4.00 for each athlete and the average number of minutes played per game.
Minutes |
GPA |
29.70 |
3.20 |
32.14 |
2.88 |
32.72 |
2.78 |
21.76 |
3.18 |
18.56 |
3.46 |
16.23 |
2.12 |
11.80 |
2.36 |
6.88 |
2.89 |
6.38 |
2.24 |
15.83 |
3.35 |
2.50 |
3.00 |
4.17 |
2.18 |
16.36 |
3.50 |
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Question
15.50
Romantic love, brain activation, and reliability: Aron and colleagues (2005) found a correlation between intense romantic love [as assessed by the Passionate Love Scale (PLS)] and activation in a specific region of the brain [as assessed by functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI)]. The PLS (Hatfield & Sprecher, 1986) assessed the intensity of romantic love by asking people in romantic relationships to respond to a series of questions, such as “I want ______ physically, emotionally, and mentally” and “Sometimes I can’t control my thoughts; they are obsessively on ______,” replacing the blanks with the name of their partner.
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Question
15.51
A biased exam question, validity, and correlation: New York State’s fourth-grade English exam led to an outcry from parents because of a question that was perceived to be an unfair measure of fourth graders’ performance. Students read a story, “Why the Rooster Crows at Dawn,” that described an arrogant rooster who claims to be king, and Brownie, “the kindest of all the cows,” who eventually acts in a mean way toward the rooster. In the beginning the rooster does whatever he wants, but by the end, the cows, led by Brownie, have convinced him that as self-proclaimed king, he must be the first to wake up in the morning and the last to go to sleep. To the cows’ delight, the arrogant rooster complies. Students were then asked to respond to several questions about the story, including one that asked: “What causes Brownie’s behavior to change?” Several parents started a Web site, http://browniethecow.org, to point out problems with the test, particularly with this question. Students, they argued, were confused because it seemed that it was the rooster’s behavior, not the cow’s behavior, that changed. The correct answer, according to a quote on the Web site from an unnamed state official, was that the cow started out kind and ended up mean.
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Question
15.52
Holiday weight gain, reliability, and validity: The Wall Street Journal reported on a study of holiday weight gain. Researchers assessed weight gain by asking people how much weight they typically gain in the fall and winter (Parker-Pope, 2005). The average answer was 2.3 kilograms. But a study of actual weight gain over this period found that people gained, on average, 0.48 kilogram.
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