EXAMPLE 3 Classifying fossils

Archaeopteryx is an extinct beast having feathers like a bird but teeth and a long bony tail like a reptile. Only six fossil specimens are known. Because these fossils differ greatly in size, some scientists think they are different species rather than individuals from the same species. We will examine data on the lengths in centimeters of the femur (a leg bone) and the humerus (a bone in the upper arm) for the five fossils that preserve both bones. Here are the data:

Femur: 38 56 59 64 74
Humerus: 41 63 70 72 84

Because there is no explanatory-response distinction, we can put either measurement on the x axis of a scatterplot. The plot appears in Figure 14.5.

The plot shows a strong, positive, straight-line association. The straight-line form is important because it is common and simple. The association is strong because the points lie close to a line. It is positive because as the length of one bone increases, so does the length of the other bone. These data suggest that all five fossils belong to the same species and differ in size because some are younger than others. We expect that a different species would have a different relationship between the lengths of the two bones, so that it would appear as an outlier.

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Figure 14.5: Figure 14.5 Scatterplot of the lengths of two bones in five fossil specimens of the extinct beast archaeopteryx, Example 3.