Question 19.20

19.20 Gambling in ancient Rome. Tossing four astragali was the most popular game of chance in Roman times. Many throws of a present-day sheep’s astragalus show that the approximate probability distribution for the four sides of the bone that can land uppermost are

Outcome Probability
Narrow flat side of bone 110
Broad concave side of bone 410
Broad convex side of bone 410
Narrow hollow side of bone 110

The best throw of four astragali was the “Venus,” when all four uppermost sides were different.

  1. (a) Explain how to simulate the throw of a single astragalus. Then explain how to simulate throwing four astragali independently of each other.

  2. (b) Simulate 25 throws of four astragali. Estimate the probability of throwing a Venus. Be sure to say what part of Table A you used.