2.5STATISTICS IN SUMMARY

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image The first step in reasoning from data to a conclusion is obtaining data. In Chapter 1, we discussed sample surveys as one way to collect data in an observational study. The method of selecting the sample in a sample survey affects how well the sample represents the population. Biased sampling methods, such as convenience sampling and voluntary response samples, produce data that can be misleading, resulting in incorrect conclusions. Simple random sampling avoids bias and produces data that give us confidence that the first step in our argument is sound.

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In the next chapter, we look more closely at what a simple random sample tells us about the population from which it is selected. And in Chapter 4, we discuss some of the problems faced by people who take surveys in the real world.

CASE STUDY EVALUATED To participate in the MLive poll described in the Case Study that opened the chapter, you had to choose to go online to the MLive website and click on one of the possible responses. Use what you have learned in this chapter to assess whether the data collected in such an online poll are good or bad. Your assessment should be written so that someone who knows no statistics will understand your reasoning.

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