THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

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All open economies have balance of payments accounts. Open financial markets permit economies to run trade surpluses and deficits.

A simplified version of the U.S. balance of payments accounts for 2015 is shown in Table 1. These accounts were compiled by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce. The balance of payments represents all payments received from foreign countries and all payments made to them. Notice that the accounts are split into two broad divisions, the current account and the capital account.

TABLE 1 THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 2015 (BILLIONS OF U.S. DOLLARS)
Current Account    
Exports 2,223.6
Imports 2,763.4
Balance of trade (exports – imports) −539.8
Income received (inflow) 783.1
Income payments (outflow) 591.8
Balance on income (inflow – outflow) 191.3
Net transfers −135.6
Current account balance −484.1
Capital Account    
Change in foreign-owned assets in the United States 395.5
Change in U.S.-owned assets abroad 186.3
Net increase in foreign-owned holdings 209.2
Statistical discrepancy 274.9
Capital account 484.1
Table 16.1: TABLE 1 THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 2015 (BILLIONS OF U.S. DOLLARS)

Data from Bureau of Economic Analysis

The Current Account

current account Includes payments for imports and exports of goods and services, incomes flowing into and out of the country, and net transfers of money.

The current account includes payments for imports and exports of goods and services, incomes flowing into and out of the country, and net transfers of money.

Imports and Exports In 2015, U.S. exports of goods and services totaled $2,223.6 billion, with imports totaling $2,763.4 billion. This exchange produced a trade deficit of $539.8 billion because we imported more than we exported. Some balance of payments accounts break exports and imports into separate categories of goods and services; here, they are combined. This component of the current account is known as the balance of trade.

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The iconic Plaza Hotel in New York City, which has appeared in several dozen movies, was purchased by foreign investors in 2004. The inflow of funds to the United States used to purchase the hotel appeared in the U.S. capital account that year.
Sandra Baker/Alamy

Income Another source of foreign payments to the United States comprises income flows, which include wages, rents, interest, and profits that Americans earn abroad ($783.1 billion in 2015) minus the corresponding income foreigners earn in the United States ($591.8 billion). On balance, foreigners earned $191.3 billion less in the United States than U.S. citizens and corporations earned abroad in 2015.

Transfers Direct transfers of money also take place between the United States and other countries. These transfers include foreign aid, funds sent to such international organizations as the United Nations, and stipends paid directly to foreign students studying in the United States or U.S. students studying abroad. These transfers also include remittances, money that people working in the United States send back to their families in foreign countries. Net transfers of money for 2015 from all sources totaled −$135.6 billion.

Adding all current account categories for 2015 yields a current account deficit of $484.1 billion. In 2015, the United States paid out $484.1 billion more than it received. Therefore, the United States had to borrow $484.1 billion from the rest of the world, or the net holdings of U.S. assets by foreigners must have increased by that same amount, or some combination of the two.

The Capital Account

capital account Summarizes the flow of money into and out of domestic and foreign assets, including investments by foreign companies in domestic plants or subsidiaries, and other foreign holdings of U.S. assets, including mutual funds, stocks, bonds, and deposits in U.S. banks. Also included are U.S. investors’ holdings of foreign financial assets, production facilities, and other assets in foreign countries.

The capital account summarizes the flow of money into and out of domestic and foreign assets. This account includes investments by foreign companies in domestic plants or subsidiaries—a Toyota truck plant in Tennessee, for example. Note that the profits from such investments flow abroad, and thus they are in the income payments (outflow) category of the current account. Other foreign holdings of U.S. assets include portfolio investments such as mutual funds, stocks, bonds, and deposits in U.S. banks. American investors hold foreign financial assets in their portfolios, including foreign stocks and bonds. And American companies own plants and other assets in foreign countries.

Because the United States ran a current account deficit in 2015, it must run a capital account surplus. Net capital inflows into the United States must equal $484.1 billion to offset the current account deficit. Indeed, foreign-owned assets in the United States increased by $395.5 billion, while U.S. ownership of foreign assets increased by $186.3 billion, resulting in a net inflow of capital of $209.2 billion. Because many accounts are subjected to estimation errors, a statistical discrepancy value of $274.9 billion is added to the net inflow of capital to bring the total capital account surplus to $484.1 billion.

The key point to remember is that balance of payments accounts have to show a balance: A deficit in the current account must be offset by a corresponding surplus in the capital account, and vice versa. Keep this point in mind as we go on to look at foreign exchange and policy implications of an open economy.

CHECKPOINT

THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

  • The balance of payments represents all payments received from foreign countries and all payments made to them.

  • The balance of payments is split into two categories: current and capital accounts.

  • The current account includes payment for exports and imports, income flows, and net transfers of money.

  • The capital account summarizes flows of money into and out of domestic and foreign assets.

  • The sum of the current and capital account balances must equal zero.

QUESTIONS: China and Russia both have a high savings rate as a percent of GDP. The lack of consumption relative to domestic investment leads to substantial net exports. Would this situation lead to a current account surplus or a current account deficit? Why?

Answers to the Checkpoint questions can be found at the end of this chapter.

When a country has a high savings rate (relative to domestic investment), it is likely that its exports will exceed imports, resulting in a trade surplus. Both China and Russia are net exporters, which shows up as a current account surplus in their balance of payments accounts.