The Financial System

A well-functioning financial system that brought together the funds of investors and the ideas of brilliant nerds made the rise of Facebook possible. But to think that this is an exclusively modern phenomenon would be misguided. Financial markets raised the funds that were used to develop colonial markets in India, to build canals across Europe, and to finance the Napoleonic wars in the eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries. Capital inflows financed the early economic development of the United States, funding investment spending in mining, railroads, and canals. In fact, many of the principal features of financial markets and assets have been well understood in Europe and the United States since the eighteenth century. These features are no less relevant today. So let’s begin by understanding exactly what is traded in financial markets.

A household’s wealth is the value of its accumulated savings.

Financial markets are where households invest their current savings and their accumulated savings, or wealth, by purchasing financial assets. A financial asset is a paper claim that entitles the buyer to future income from the seller. For example, when a saver lends funds to a company, the loan is a financial asset sold by the company that entitles the lender (the buyer of the financial asset) to future income from the company.

A financial asset is a paper claim that entitles the buyer to future income from the seller.

A physical asset is a tangible object that can be used to generate future income.

A household can also invest its current savings or wealth by purchasing a physical asset, a tangible object that can be used to generate future income such as a preexisting house or preexisting piece of equipment. It gives the owner the right to dispose of the object as he or she wishes (for example, rent it or sell it).

Recall that the purchase of a financial or physical asset is typically called investing. So if you purchase a preexisting piece of equipment—say, a used airliner—you are investing in a physical asset. In contrast, if you spend funds that add to the stock of physical capital in the economy—say, purchasing a newly manufactured airplane—you are engaging in investment spending. (See the Pitfalls on investment versus investment spending that appears earlier in the chapter.)

A liability is a requirement to pay income in the future.

If you get a loan from your local bank—say, to buy a new car—you and the bank are creating a financial asset: your loan. A loan is one important kind of financial asset in the real world, one that is owned by the lender—in this case, your local bank. In creating that loan, you and the bank are also creating a liability, a requirement to pay income in the future.

So although your loan is a financial asset from the bank’s point of view, it is a liability from your point of view: a requirement that you repay the loan, including any interest. In addition to loans, there are three other important kinds of financial assets: stocks, bonds, and bank deposits. Because a financial asset is a claim to future income that someone has to pay, it is also someone else’s liability. We’ll explain in detail shortly who bears the liability for each type of financial asset.

These four types of financial assets—loans, stocks, bonds, and bank deposits—exist because the economy has developed a set of specialized markets, like the stock market and the bond market, and specialized institutions, like banks, that facilitate the flow of funds from lenders to borrowers. In Chapter 22, in the context of the circular-flow diagram, we defined the financial markets and institutions that make up the financial system.

A well-functioning financial system is a critical ingredient in achieving long-run growth because it encourages greater savings and investment spending. It also ensures that savings and investment spending are undertaken efficiently. To understand how this occurs, we first need to know what tasks the financial system needs to accomplish. Then we can see how the job gets done.

Three Tasks of a Financial System

Our earlier analysis of the loanable funds market ignored three important problems facing borrowers and lenders: transaction costs, risk, and the desire for liquidity. The three tasks of a financial system are to reduce these problems in a cost-effective way. Doing so enhances the efficiency of financial markets: it makes it more likely that lenders and borrowers will make mutually beneficial trades—trades that make society as a whole richer. We’ll turn now to examining how financial assets are designed and how institutions are developed to cope with these problems.

Transaction costs are the expenses of negotiating and executing a deal.

Task 1: Reducing Transaction Costs The expenses of actually putting together and executing a deal are known as transaction costs. For example, arranging a loan requires spending time and money negotiating the terms of the deal, verifying the borrower’s ability to pay, drawing up and executing legal documents, and so on. Suppose a large business decided that it wanted to raise $1 billion for investment spending. No individual would be willing to lend that much. And negotiating individual loans from thousands of different people, each willing to lend a modest amount, would impose very large total costs because each individual transaction would incur a cost. Total costs would be so large that the entire deal would probably be unprofitable for the business.

Fortunately, that’s not necessary: when large businesses want to borrow money, they either go to a bank or sell bonds in the bond market. Obtaining a loan from a bank avoids large transaction costs because it involves only a single borrower and a single lender. We’ll explain more about how bonds work in the next section. For now, it is enough to know that the principal reason there is a bond market is that it allows companies to borrow large sums of money without incurring large transaction costs.

Financial risk is uncertainty about future outcomes that involve financial losses or gains.

Task 2: Reducing Risk Another problem that real-world borrowers and lenders face is financial risk, uncertainty about future outcomes that involve financial losses or gains. Financial risk, or simply risk, is a problem because the future is uncertain, containing the potential for losses as well as gains. For example, owning and driving a car entails the financial risk of a costly accident. Most people view potential losses and gains in an asymmetrical way: most people experience the loss in welfare from losing a given amount of money more intensely than they experience the increase in welfare from gaining the same amount of money.

A person who is more sensitive to a loss than to a gain of an equal dollar amount is called risk-averse. Most people are risk-averse, although to differing degrees. For example, people who are wealthy are typically less risk-averse than those who are not so well-off.

A well-functioning financial system helps people reduce their exposure to risk, which risk-averse people would like to do. Suppose the owner of a business expects to make a greater profit if she buys additional capital equipment, but she isn’t completely sure that this will indeed happen. She could pay for the equipment by using her savings or selling her house. But if the profit is significantly less than expected, she will have lost her savings, or her house, or both. That is, she would be exposing herself to a lot of risk due to uncertainty about how well or poorly the business performs. (This is why business owners, who typically have a significant portion of their own personal wealth tied up in their businesses, are usually people who are more tolerant of risk than the average person.)

So, being risk-averse, this business owner wants to share the risk of purchasing new capital equipment with someone, even if that requires sharing some of the profit if all goes well. How can she do this? By selling shares of her company to other people and using the money she receives from selling shares, rather than money from the sale of her other assets, to finance the equipment purchase. By selling shares in her company, she reduces her personal losses if the profit is less than expected: she won’t have lost her other assets. But if things go well, the shareholders earn a share of the profit as a return on their investment.

By selling a share of her business, the owner has achieved diversification: she has been able to invest in several things in a way that lowers her total risk. She has maintained her investment in her bank account, a financial asset; in ownership of her house, a physical asset; and in ownership of the unsold portion of her business, a financial asset. These investments are likely to carry some risk of their own; for example, her bank may fail or her house may burn down (though in the modern United States it is likely that she is partly protected against these risks by insurance).

But even in the absence of insurance, she is better off having maintained investments in these different assets because their different risks are unrelated, or independent, events. This means, for example, that her house is no more likely to burn down if her business does poorly and that her bank is no more likely to fail if her house burns down.

An individual can engage in diversification by investing in several different things so that the possible losses are independent events.

To put it another way, if one asset performs poorly, it is very likely that her other assets will be unaffected and, as a result, her total risk of loss has been reduced. But if she had invested all her wealth in her business, she would have faced the prospect of losing everything if the business had performed poorly. By engaging in diversification—investing in several assets with unrelated, or independent, risks—our business owner has lowered her total risk of loss.

The desire of individuals to reduce their total risk by engaging in diversification is why we have stocks and a stock market. In the next section on types of financial assets, we’ll explain in more detail how certain features of the stock market increase the ability of individuals to manage and reduce risk.

Task 3: Providing Liquidity The financial system also exists to provide investors with liquidity, a concern that—like risk—arises because the future is uncertain. Suppose that, having made a loan, a lender suddenly finds himself in need of cash—say, to meet a medical emergency. Unfortunately, if that loan was made to a business that used it to buy new equipment, the business cannot repay the loan on short notice to satisfy the lender’s need to recover his money. Knowing in advance that there is a danger of needing to get his money back before the term of the loan is up, our lender might be reluctant to lock up his money by lending it to a business.

An asset is liquid if it can be quickly converted into cash with relatively little loss of value.

An asset is liquid if it can be quickly converted into cash with relatively little loss of value, illiquid if it cannot. As we’ll see, stocks and bonds are a partial answer to the problem of liquidity. Banks provide an additional way for individuals to hold liquid assets and still finance illiquid investment spending projects.

An asset is illiquid if it cannot be quickly converted into cash with relatively little loss of value.

To help lenders and borrowers make mutually beneficial deals, then, the economy needs ways to reduce transaction costs, to reduce and manage risk through diversification, and to provide liquidity. How does it achieve these tasks?

Types of Financial Assets

In the modern economy there are four main types of financial assets: loans, bonds, stocks, and bank deposits. In addition, financial innovation has allowed the creation of a wide range of loan-backed securities. Each asset serves a somewhat different purpose. We’ll examine loans, bonds, stocks, and loan-backed securities now, reserving our discussion of bank deposits until the following section.

A loan is a lending agreement between an individual lender and an individual borrower.

Loans A lending agreement made between an individual lender and an individual borrower is a loan. Most people encounter loans in the form of a student loan or a bank loan to finance the purchase of a car or a house. And small businesses usually use bank loans to buy new equipment.

The good aspect of loans is that a given loan is usually tailored to the needs of the borrower. Before a small business can get a loan, it usually has to discuss its business plans, its profits, and so on with the lender. This results in a loan that meets the borrower’s needs and ability to pay.

The bad aspect of loans is that making a loan to an individual person or a business typically involves a lot of transaction costs, such as the cost of negotiating the terms of the loan, investigating the borrower’s credit history and ability to repay, and so on. To minimize these costs, large borrowers such as major corporations and governments often take a more streamlined approach: they sell (or issue) bonds.

Bonds As we learned in Chapter 22, a bond is an IOU issued by the borrower. Normally, the seller of the bond promises to pay a fixed sum of interest each year and to repay the principal—the value stated on the face of the bond—to the owner of the bond on a particular date. So a bond is a financial asset from its owner’s point of view and a liability from its issuer’s point of view. A bond issuer sells a number of bonds with a given interest rate and maturity date to whoever is willing to buy them, a process that avoids costly negotiation of the terms of a loan with many individual lenders.

A default occurs when a borrower fails to make payments as specified by the loan or bond contract.

Bond purchasers can acquire information free of charge on the quality of the bond issuer, such as the bond issuer’s credit history, from bond-rating agencies rather than having to incur the expense of investigating it themselves. A particular concern for investors is the possibility of default, the risk that the bond issuer will fail to make payments as specified by the bond contract. Once a bond’s risk of default has been rated, it can be sold on the bond market as a more or less standardized product—a product with clearly defined terms and quality. In general, bonds with a higher default risk must pay a higher interest rate to attract investors.

Another important advantage of bonds is that they are easy to resell. This provides liquidity to bond purchasers. Indeed, a bond will often pass through many hands before it finally comes due. Loans, in contrast, are much more difficult to resell because, unlike bonds, they are not standardized: they differ in size, quality, terms, and so on. This makes them a lot less liquid than bonds.

A loan-backed security is an asset created by pooling individual loans and selling shares in that pool.

Loan-Backed Securities Assets created by pooling individual loans and selling shares in that pool (a process called securitization) are called loan-backed securities. This type of asset has become extremely popular over the past two decades. While mortgage-backed securities—in which thousands of individual home mortgages are pooled and shares are sold to investors—are the best-known example, securitization has also been widely applied to student loans, credit card loans, and auto loans.

These loan-backed securities are traded on financial markets like bonds; they are preferred by investors because they provide more diversification and liquidity than individual loans. However, with so many loans packaged together, it can be difficult to assess the true quality of the asset. That difficulty came to haunt investors during the financial crisis of 2008, when the bursting of the housing bubble led to widespread defaults on mortgages and large losses for holders of “supposedly safe” mortgage-backed securities, pain that spread throughout the entire financial system.

Stocks As we learned in Chapter 22, a stock is a share in the ownership of a company. A share of stock is a financial asset from its owner’s point of view and a liability from the company’s point of view. Not all companies sell shares of their stock; “privately held” companies are owned by an individual or a few partners, who get to keep all of the company’s profit. Most large companies, however, do sell stock. For example, Microsoft has nearly 8 billion shares outstanding; if you buy one of those shares, you are entitled to one-eleven billionth of the company’s profit, as well as 1 of 11 billion votes on company decisions.

Why does Microsoft, historically a very profitable company, allow you to buy a share in its ownership? Why didn’t Bill Gates and Paul Allen, the two founders of Microsoft, keep complete ownership for themselves and just sell bonds for their investment spending needs? The reason, as we have just learned, is risk: few individuals are risk-tolerant enough to face the risk involved in being the sole owner of a large company.

Reducing the risk that business owners face, however, is not the only way in which the existence of stocks improves society’s welfare: it also improves the welfare of investors who buy stocks. Shareowners are able to enjoy the higher returns over time that stocks generally offer in comparison to bonds. Over the past century, stocks have typically yielded about 7% after adjusting for inflation; bonds have yielded only about 2%. But as investment companies warn you, “past performance is no guarantee of future results.”

And there is a downside: owning the stock of a given company is riskier than owning a bond issued by the same company. Why? Loosely speaking, a bond is a promise while a stock is a hope: by law, a company must pay what it owes its lenders before it distributes any profit to its shareholders. And if the company should fail (that is, be unable to pay its interest obligations and declare bankruptcy), its physical and financial assets go to its bondholders—its lenders—while its shareholders generally receive nothing. So although a stock generally provides a higher return to an investor than a bond, it also carries higher risk.

But the financial system has devised ways to help investors as well as business owners simultaneously manage risk and enjoy somewhat higher returns. It does that through the services of institutions known as financial intermediaries.

Financial Intermediaries

A financial intermediary is an institution that transforms the funds it gathers from many individuals into financial assets.

A financial intermediary is an institution that transforms funds gathered from many individuals into financial assets. The most important types of financial intermediaries are mutual funds, pension funds, life insurance companies, and banks. About three-quarters of the financial assets Americans own are held through these intermediaries rather than directly.

Mutual Funds As we’ve explained, owning shares of a company entails accepting risk in return for a higher potential reward. But it should come as no surprise that stock investors can lower their total risk by engaging in diversification. By owning a diversified portfolio of stocks—a group of stocks in which risks are unrelated to, or offset, one another—rather than concentrating investment in the shares of a single company or a group of related companies, investors can reduce their risk.

In addition, financial advisers, aware that most people are risk-averse, almost always advise their clients to diversify not only their stock portfolio but also their entire wealth by holding other assets in addition to stock—assets such as bonds, real estate, and cash. (And, for good measure, to have plenty of insurance in case of accidental losses!)

However, for individuals who don’t have a large amount of money to invest—say, $1 million or more—building a diversified stock portfolio can incur high transaction costs (particularly fees paid to stockbrokers) because they are buying a few shares of a lot of companies. Fortunately for such investors, mutual funds help solve the problem of achieving diversification without high transaction costs.

A mutual fund is a financial intermediary that creates a stock portfolio and then resells shares of this portfolio to individual investors.

A mutual fund is a financial intermediary that creates a stock portfolio by buying and holding shares in companies and then selling shares of the stock portfolio to individual investors. By buying these shares, investors with a relatively small amount of money to invest can indirectly hold a diversified portfolio, achieving a better return for any given level of risk than they could otherwise achieve. Table 25-1 shows an example of a diversified mutual fund, the Fidelity Spartan 500 Index Fund. It shows the percentage of investors’ money invested in the stocks of the largest companies in the mutual fund’s portfolio.

Company

Percent of mutual fund assets invested in a company

Apple Inc.

   3.4%

Exxon Mobil Corp.

2.3

Microsoft Corp.

1.8

S&P 500 Index Future

1.7

Johnson & Johnson

1.6

General Electric Co.

1.4

Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

1.3

Wells Fargo & Co.

1.3

Chevron Corp.

1.3

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

1.2

Source: Fidelity Investments.

Table :

TABLE 10-1 Fidelity Spartan 500 Index Fund, Top Holdings (as of November 2014)

Many mutual funds also perform market research on the companies they invest in. This is important because there are thousands of stock-issuing U.S. companies (not to mention foreign companies), each differing in terms of its likely profitability, dividend payments, and so on. It would be extremely time-consuming and costly for an individual investor to do adequate research on even a small number of companies. Mutual funds save transaction costs by doing this research for their customers.

The mutual fund industry represents a huge portion of the modern U.S. economy, not just of the U.S. financial system. In total, U.S. mutual funds had assets of $15 trillion at the end of 2013. In 2013, the largest mutual fund company was Fidelity, with almost $5 trillion in assets in September 2014.

We should mention, by the way, that mutual funds charge fees for their services. These fees are quite small for mutual funds that simply hold a diversified portfolio of stocks without trying to pick winners. But the fees charged by mutual funds that claim to have special expertise in investing your money can be quite high.

A pension fund is a type of mutual fund that holds assets in order to provide retirement income to its members.

Pension Funds and Life Insurance Companies In addition to mutual funds, many Americans have holdings in pension funds, nonprofit institutions that collect the savings of their members and invest those funds in a wide variety of assets, providing their members with income when they retire. Although pension funds are subject to some special rules and receive special treatment for tax purposes, they function much like mutual funds. They invest in a diverse array of financial assets, allowing their members to achieve more cost-effective diversification and market research than they would be able to achieve individually. At the end of 2013, pension funds in the United States held more than $16 trillion in assets.

A life insurance company sells policies that guarantee a payment to a policyholder’s beneficiaries when the policyholder dies.

Americans also have substantial holdings in the policies of life insurance companies, which guarantee a payment to the policyholder’s beneficiaries (typically, the family) when the policyholder dies. By enabling policyholders to cushion their beneficiaries from financial hardship arising from their death, life insurance companies also improve welfare by reducing risk.

Banks Recall the problem of liquidity: other things equal, people want assets that can be readily converted into cash. Bonds and stocks are much more liquid than physical assets or loans, yet the transaction cost of selling bonds or stocks to meet a sudden expense can be large. Furthermore, for many small and moderate-size companies, the cost of issuing bonds and stocks is too large given the modest amount of money they seek to raise. A bank is an institution that helps resolve the conflict between lenders’ needs for liquidity and the financing needs of borrowers who don’t want to use the stock or bond markets.

A bank deposit is a claim on a bank that obliges the bank to give the depositor his or her cash when demanded.

A bank works by first accepting funds from depositors: when you put your money in a bank, you are essentially becoming a lender by lending the bank your money. In return, you receive credit for a bank deposit—a claim on the bank, which is obliged to give you your cash if and when you demand it. So a bank deposit is a financial asset owned by the depositor and a liability of the bank that holds it.

Bonds Versus Banks

Suppose that a business wants to borrow funds to finance investment. There are actually two ways it could do this: It could sell bonds to investors, or it could get loans from banks. There are advantages and disadvantages to each strategy.

On the one hand, issuing bonds tends to be cheaper than borrowing from a bank, because it eliminates the middleman. Also, banks often place conditions on loans, restricting the borrower’s freedom to conduct its business as it chooses. On the other hand, bank loans can be less risky than issuing bonds. If a borrower gets into difficulty, its bank will typically be supportive, offering them more time to repay if a good plan is in place to fix their problems. Bond holders, in contrast, are inflexible and can inflict deep costs on a company that misses its interest payments. So going with bonds means taking somewhat bigger risks for the sake of flexibility. Going with bank loans means reducing risk at the cost of less flexibility.

It’s a tough choice—and interestingly, companies in the United States and their counterparts in Europe generally make different choices. The figure shows the value of corporate bonds outstanding in the United States and the European Union, in each case measured as a percentage of GDP. What you see is that U.S. companies issue a lot more bonds than their European counterparts. Correspondingly, European firms rely much more on bank borrowing.

Why the difference? Generally, American companies are more inclined to take risks. Also, European households are more inclined than U.S. households to leave large sums in bank accounts. As a result, European banks have more money to lend than their American counterparts.

If you look at the figure, however, you’ll notice something else: European companies are relying much more on bonds than in the past. In the wake of the financial crisis, troubled European banks have pulled back from lending, which has forced European companies to issue bonds to fill the financing gap. As the data show, the European financial system is becoming more like the U.S. system.

Sources: Bijlsma, Michiel J., and Gijsbert T.J. Zwart, “The Changing Landscape of Financial Markets in Europe, the United States and Japan,” No. 2013/02, Bruegel Working Paper, 2013; Bank for International Settlements.

A bank, however, keeps only a fraction of its customers’ deposits in the form of ready cash. Most of its deposits are lent out to businesses, buyers of new homes, and other borrowers. These loans come with a long-term commitment by the bank to the borrower: as long as the borrower makes his or her payments on time, the loan cannot be recalled by the bank and converted into cash. So a bank enables those who wish to borrow for long lengths of time to use the funds of those who wish to lend but simultaneously want to maintain the ability to get their cash back on demand.

A bank is a financial intermediary that provides liquid assets in the form of bank deposits to lenders and uses those funds to finance the illiquid investment spending needs of borrowers.

More formally, a bank is a financial intermediary that provides liquid financial assets in the form of deposits to lenders and uses their funds to finance the illiquid investment spending needs of borrowers. In essence, a bank is engaging in a kind of mismatch: lending for long periods of time while subject to the condition that its depositors could demand their funds back at any time. How can it manage that?

The bank counts on the fact that, on average, only a small fraction of its depositors will want their cash at the same time. On any given day, some people will make withdrawals and others will make new deposits; these will roughly cancel each other out. So the bank needs to keep only a limited amount of cash on hand to satisfy its depositors. In addition, if a bank becomes financially incapable of paying its depositors, individual bank deposits are guaranteed to depositors up to $250,000 by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, or FDIC, a federal agency. This reduces the risk to a depositor of holding a bank deposit, in turn reducing the incentive to withdraw funds if concerns about the financial state of the bank should arise. So, under normal conditions, banks need hold only a fraction of their depositors’ cash.

By reconciling the needs of savers for liquid assets with the needs of borrowers for long-term financing, banks play a key economic role. As the following Economics in Action explains, the creation of a well-functioning banking system was a key turning point in South Korea’s economic success.

!worldview! ECONOMICS in Action: Banks and the South Korean Miracle

Banks and the South Korean Miracle

South Korea, now a very rich modern country, is one of the great success stories of economic growth. In the early 1960s, it was a very poor nation. Then it experienced spectacularly high rates of economic growth. And South Korean banks had a lot to do with it.

South Korea’s experience with banks shows how important a good financial system is to economic growth.

In the early 1960s, South Korea’s banking system was a mess. Interest rates on deposits were set very low by government regulation at a time when the country was experiencing high inflation. So savers didn’t want to put their money in a bank, fearing that much of their purchasing power would be eroded by rising prices. Instead, they engaged in current consumption by spending their money on goods and services or used their wealth to buy physical assets such as real estate and gold. Because savers refused to make bank deposits, businesses found it very hard to borrow money to finance investment spending.

In 1965 the South Korean government reformed the country’s banks and increased interest rates to a level that was attractive to savers. Over the next five years the value of bank deposits increased sevenfold, and the national savings rate—the percentage of GDP going into national savings—more than doubled. The rejuvenated banking system made it possible for South Korean businesses to launch a great investment spending boom, a key element in the country’s growth surge.

Many other factors besides banking were involved in South Korea’s success, but the country’s experience does show how important a good financial system is to economic growth.

Quick Review

  • Households can invest their current savings or their wealth by purchasing either financial assets or physical assets. A financial asset is a seller’s liability.

  • A well-functioning financial system reduces transaction costs, reduces financial risk by enabling diversification, and provides liquid assets, which investors prefer to illiquid assets.

  • The four main types of financial assets are loans, bonds, stocks, and bank deposits. A recent innovation is loan-backed securities, which are more liquid and more diversified than individual loans. Bonds with a higher default risk typically must pay a higher interest rate.

  • The most important types of financial intermediaries are mutual funds, pension funds, life insurance companies, and banks.

  • A bank accepts bank deposits, which obliges it to return depositors’ cash on demand, and lends those funds to borrowers for long lengths of time.

25-2

  1. Question 10.4

    Rank the following assets in terms of (i) level of transaction costs, (ii) level of risk, (iii) level of liquidity.

    1. A bank deposit with a guaranteed interest rate

    2. A share of a highly diversified mutual fund, which can be quickly sold

    3. A share of the family business, which can be sold only if you find a buyer and all other family members agree to the sale

  2. Question 10.5

    What relationship would you expect to find between the level of development of a country’s financial system and its level of economic development? Explain in terms of the country’s level of savings and level of investment spending.

Solutions appear at back of book.