Economic Inequality

The United States is a rich country. In 2007, before the recession hit, the average U.S. household had an income (in 2012 prices) of $74,869, far exceeding the poverty threshold. Even after a devastating recession followed by a sluggish recovery, average household income in 2013 was $72,641. How is it possible, then, that so many Americans still live in poverty? The answer is that income is unequally distributed, with many households earning much less than the average and others earning much more.

Table 18-2 shows the distribution of pre-tax income—income before federal income taxes are paid—among U.S. families in 2013, as estimated by the Census Bureau. Households are grouped into quintiles, each containing 20%, or one-fifth, of the population. The first, or bottom, quintile contains households whose income put them below the 20th percentile in income, the second quintile contains households whose income put them between the 20th and 40th percentiles, and so on.

Income group

Income range

Average income

Percent of total income

Bottom quintile

Less than $20,900

$11,657

  3.2%

Second quintile

$20,900 to $40,187

  30,127

  8.3

Third quintile

$40,187 to $65,501

  51,933

14.4

Fourth quintile

$65,501 to $105,910

  83,291

23.0

Top quintile

More than $105,910

184,548

51.0

Top 5%

More than $196,000

322,674

22.2

Mean income = $72,641

Median income = $51,939

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

Table : TABLE 18-2 U.S. Income Distribution in 2013

For each group, Table 18-2 shows three numbers. The second column shows the income ranges that define the group. For example, in 2013, the bottom quintile consisted of households with annual incomes of less than $20,900, the next quintile of households had incomes between $20,900 and $40,187, and so on. The third column shows the average income in each group, ranging from $11,657 for the bottom fifth to $322,674 for the top 5%. The fourth column shows the percentage of total U.S. income received by each group.

Mean household income is the average income across all households.

Mean versus Median Household Income At the bottom of Table 18-2 are two useful numbers for thinking about the incomes of American households. Mean household income, also called average household income, is the total income of all U.S. households divided by the number of households. Median household income is the income of a household in the exact middle of the income distribution—the level of income at which half of all households have lower income and half have higher income. It’s very important to realize that these two numbers do not measure the same thing.

Median household income is the income of the household lying at the exact middle of the income distribution.

Economists often illustrate the difference by asking people first to imagine a room containing several dozen more or less ordinary wage-earners, then to think about what happens to the mean and median incomes of the people in the room if a Wall Street tycoon, some of whom earn more than a billion dollars a year, walks in. The mean income soars, because the tycoon’s income pulls up the average, but median income hardly rises at all.

This example helps explain why economists generally regard median income as a better guide to the economic status of typical American families than mean income: mean income is strongly affected by the incomes of a relatively small number of very-high-income Americans, who are not representative of the population as a whole; median income is not.

What we learn from Table 18-2 is that income in the United States is quite unequally distributed. The average income of the poorest fifth of families is less than a quarter of the average income of families in the middle, and the richest fifth have an average income more than three times that of families in the middle. The incomes of the richest fifth of the population are, on average, about 15 times as high as those of the poorest fifth. In fact, the distribution of income in America has become more unequal since 1980, rising to a level that has made it a significant political issue. The upcoming Economics in Action discusses long-term trends in U.S. income inequality, which declined in the 1930s and 1940s, was stable for more than 30 years after World War II, but began rising again in the late 1970s.

The Gini coefficient is a number that summarizes a country’s level of income inequality based on how unequally income is distributed across quintiles.

The Gini Coefficient It’s often convenient to have a single number that summarizes a country’s level of income inequality. The Gini coefficient, the most widely used measure of inequality, is based on how disparately income is distributed across the quintiles (as we learned in the preceding Global Comparison). A country with a perfectly equal distribution of income—that is, one in which the bottom 20% of the population received 20% of the income, the bottom 40% of the population received 40% of the income, and so on—would have a Gini coefficient of 0. At the other extreme, the highest possible value for the Gini coefficient is 1—the level it would attain if all a country’s income went to just one person.

One way to get a sense of what Gini coefficients mean in practice is to look at international comparisons. Figure 18-2 shows recent estimates of the Gini coefficient for many of the world’s countries. Aside from a few countries in Africa, the highest levels of income inequality are found in Latin America, especially Colombia; countries with a high degree of inequality have Gini coefficients close to 0.6. The most equal distributions of income are in Europe, especially in Scandinavia; countries with very equal income distributions, such as Sweden, have Gini coefficients around 0.25. Compared to other wealthy countries, as of 2012 the United States, with a Gini coefficient of 0.47, has unusually high inequality, though it isn’t as unequal as in Latin America.

Income Inequality Around the World The highest levels of income inequality are found in Africa and Latin America. The most equal distributions of income are in Europe, especially in Scandinavia. Compared to other wealthy countries, the United States, with a Gini coefficient of 0.42, has unusually high inequality.
Sources: World Bank, World Development Indicators 2010. Luxembourg Income Study.

How serious an issue is income inequality? In a direct sense, high income inequality means that some people don’t share in a nation’s overall prosperity. As we’ve seen, rising inequality explains how it’s possible that the U.S. poverty rate has failed to fall for the past 40 years even though the country as a whole has become considerably richer. Also, extreme inequality, as found in Latin America, is often associated with political instability because of tension between a wealthy minority and the rest of the population.

It’s important to realize, however, that the data shown in Table 18-2 overstate the true degree of inequality in America, for several reasons. One is that the data represent a snapshot for a single year, whereas the incomes of many individual families fluctuate over time. That is, many of those near the bottom in any given year are having an unusually bad year and many of those at the top are having an unusually good one. Over time, their incomes will revert to a more normal level. So a table showing average incomes within quintiles over a longer period, such as a decade, would not show as much inequality.

Furthermore, a family’s income tends to vary over its life cycle: most people earn considerably less in their early working years than they will later in life, then experience a considerable drop in income when they retire. Consequently, the numbers in Table 18-2, which combine young workers, mature workers, and retirees, show more inequality than would a table that compares families of similar ages.

Despite these qualifications, there is a considerable amount of genuine inequality in the United States. In fact, inequality not only persists for long periods of time for individuals, it extends across generations. The children of poor parents are much more likely to be poor than the children of affluent parents, and vice versa—a correlation that is even stronger in the United States than in other rich countries. Moreover, the fact that families’ incomes fluctuate from year to year isn’t entirely good news. Measures of inequality in a given year do overstate true inequality. But those year-to-year fluctuations are part of a problem that worries even affluent families—economic insecurity.

Economic Insecurity As we stated earlier, although the rationale for the welfare state rests in part on the social benefits of reducing poverty and inequality, it also rests in part on the benefits of reducing economic insecurity, which afflicts even relatively well-off families.

One form economic insecurity takes is the risk of a sudden loss of income, which usually happens when a family member loses a job and either spends an extended period without work or is forced to take a new job that pays considerably less. In a given year, according to recent estimates, about one in six American families will see their income cut in half from the previous year. Related estimates show that the percentage of people who find themselves below the poverty threshold for at least one year over the course of a decade is several times higher than the percentage of people below the poverty threshold in any given year.

Even if a family doesn’t face a loss in income, it can face a surge in expenses. Until implementation of the Affordable Care Act in 2014, the most common reason for such surges was a medical problem that required expensive treatment, such as heart disease or cancer. In fact, in 2013 it was estimated that 60 percent of the personal bankruptcies of Americans were due to medical expenses. The rise in medical-bill bankruptcies—up nearly 50 percent from 46 percent in 2001, and on up to 62 percent in 2007—was a major source of support for the passage of the ACA.

ECONOMICS in Action: Long-term Trends in Income Inequality in the United States

Long-term Trends in Income Inequality in the United States

Does inequality tend to rise, fall, or stay the same over time? The answer is yes—all three. Over the course of the past century, the United States has gone through periods characterized by all three trends: an era of falling inequality during the 1930s and 1940s, an era of stable inequality for about 35 years after World War II, and an era of rising inequality over the past 30 years.

Detailed U.S. data on income by quintiles, as shown in Table 18-2, are only available starting in 1947. Panel (a) of Figure 18-3 shows the annual rate of growth of income, adjusted for inflation, for each quintile over two periods: from 1947 to 1980, and from 1980 to 2013. There’s a clear difference between the two periods. In the first period, income within each group grew at about the same rate—that is, there wasn’t much change in the inequality of income, just growing incomes across the board.

Trends in U.S. Income Inequality
Sources: U.S. Census Bureau (panel (a)). Emmanuel Saez, “Striking It Richer: The Evolution of Top Incomes in the United States,” University of California, Berkeley, discussion paper, 2008 (updated 2013) (panel (b)).

After 1980, however, incomes grew much more quickly at the top than in the middle, and more quickly in the middle than at the bottom. So inequality has increased substantially since 1980. Overall, inflation-adjusted income for families in the top quintile rose 55% between 1980 and 2013, while actually falling slightly for families in the bottom quintile.

Although detailed data on income distribution aren’t available before 1947, economists have instead used other information like income tax data to estimate the share of income going to the top 10% of the population all the way back to 1917. Panel (b) of Figure 18-3 shows this measure from 1917 to 2012. These data, like the more detailed data available since 1947, show that American inequality was more or less stable between 1947 and the late 1970s but has risen substantially since.

The longer-term data also show, however, that the relatively equal distribution of 1947 was something new. In the late nineteenth century, often referred to as the Gilded Age, American income was very unequally distributed. This high level of inequality persisted into the 1930s. But inequality declined sharply between the late 1930s and the end of World War II. In a famous paper, Claudia Goldin and Robert Margo, two economic historians, dubbed this narrowing of income inequality “the Great Compression.”

The Great Compression roughly coincided with World War II, a period during which the U.S. government imposed special controls on wages and prices. Evidence indicates that these controls were applied in ways that reduced inequality—for example, it was much easier for employers to get approval to increase the wages of their lowest-paid employees than to increase executive salaries. What remains puzzling is that the equality imposed by wartime controls lasted for decades after those controls were lifted in 1946.

Since the 1970s, as we’ve already seen, inequality has increased substantially. In fact, pre-tax income appears to be as unequally distributed in America today as it was in the 1920s, prompting many commentators to describe the current state of the nation as a new Gilded Age—albeit one in which the effects of inequality are moderated by taxes and the existence of the welfare state.

There is intense debate among economists about the causes of this widening inequality. The most popular explanation is rapid technological change, which has increased the demand for highly skilled or talented workers more rapidly than the demand for other workers, leading to a rise in the wage gap between the highly skilled and other workers. Growing international trade may also have contributed by allowing the United States to import labor-intensive products from low-wage countries rather than making them domestically, reducing the demand for less skilled American workers and depressing their wages. Rising immigration may be yet another source. On average, immigrants have lower education levels than native-born workers and increase the supply of low-skilled labor while depressing low-skilled wages.

All these explanations, however, fail to account for one key feature: much of the rise in inequality doesn’t reflect a rising gap between highly educated workers and those with less education but rather growing differences among highly educated workers themselves. For example, schoolteachers and top business executives have similarly high levels of education, but executive paychecks have risen dramatically and teachers’ salaries have not. For some reason, a few “superstars”—a group that includes literal superstars in the entertainment world but also such groups as Wall Street traders and top corporate executives—now earn much higher incomes than was the case a generation ago. It’s still unclear what caused the change.

Quick Review

  • Welfare state programs, which include government transfers, absorb a large share of government spending in wealthy countries.

  • The ability-to-pay principle explains one rationale for the welfare state: alleviating income inequality. Poverty programs do this by aiding the poor. Social insurance programs address the second rationale: alleviating economic insecurity. The external benefits to society of poverty reduction and access to health care, especially for children, is a third rationale for the welfare state.

  • The official U.S. poverty threshold is adjusted yearly to reflect changes in the cost of living but not in the average standard of living. But even though average income has risen significantly, the U.S. poverty rate is no lower than it was 30 years ago.

  • The causes of poverty can include lack of education, the legacy of racial and gender discrimination, and bad luck. The consequences of poverty are dire for children.

  • Median household income is a better indicator of typical household income than mean household income. Comparisons of Gini coefficients across countries shows that the United States has less income inequality than poor countries but more than all other rich countries.

  • The United States has seen declining and increasing income inequality. Since 1980, income inequality has increased substantially, largely due to increased inequality among highly educated workers.

18-1

  1. Question 18.1

    Indicate whether each of the following programs is a poverty program or a social insurance program.

    1. A pension guarantee program, which provides pensions for retirees if they have lost their employment-based pension due to their employer’s bankruptcy

    2. The federal program known as SCHIP, which provides health care for children in families that are above the poverty threshold but still have relatively low income

    3. The Section 8 housing program, which provides housing subsidies for low-income households

    4. The federal flood program, which provides financial help to communities hit by major floods

  2. Question 18.2

    Recall that the poverty threshold is not adjusted to reflect changes in the standard of living. As a result, is the poverty threshold a relative or an absolute measure of poverty? That is, does it define poverty according to how poor someone is relative to others or according to some fixed measure that doesn’t change over time? Explain.

  3. Question 18.3

    The accompanying table gives the distribution of income for a very small economy.

     

    Income

    Sephora

    $39,000

    Kelly

      17,500

    Raul

    900,000

    Vijay

      15,000

    Oskar

      28,000

    1. What is the mean income? What is the median income? Which measure is more representative of the income of the average person in the economy? Why?

    2. What income range defines the first quintile? The third quintile?

  4. Question 18.4

    Which of the following statements more accurately reflects the principal source of rising inequality in the United States today?

    1. The salary of the manager of the local branch of Sunrise Bank has risen relative to the salary of the neighborhood gas station attendant.

    2. The salary of the CEO of Sunrise Bank has risen relative to the salary of the local branch bank manager, although the two have similar education levels.

Solutions appear at back of book.