2 | Progress and Uncertainty

Industrialization is one of two overriding historical facts of the nineteenth century. The other one, the emergence of the modern nation-state, we spoke of earlier (pages 282–83). Ever since the first so-called age of science in the seventeenth century, technological discoveries had come faster and faster, and industry was transformed. The harnessing of steam power in the eighteenth century was matched by the capturing of electricity in the nineteenth. Europe and America were crisscrossed with railroads, built for the benefit of industry and commerce. By the early twentieth century, automobile and air travel were in their early stages of development, as were telephones, movies, and sound recordings.

What had been essentially rural societies, controlled by stable aristocracies, turned into modern nations, dominated by urban centers and run by self-made entrepreneurs. These changes occurred at breakneck speed, as people saw at the time. Yet no one could have forecast how the stresses caused by such social changes would lead on the one hand to the disturbing artistic-intellectual movement known as modernism, and on the other to the catastrophe of World War I.

For at the heart of nineteenth-century culture was a sense of confidence in progress. Progress in science and technology, it was thought, would be matched in due time by progress in human affairs. And although anyone could see evidence to the contrary — for example, in the appalling conditions of the new industrial poor, as exposed by the novels of Charles Dickens and the political writings of Karl Marx — this evidence was easily ignored by the rich and powerful who were profiting from technology’s advances.

Another dark side of progress became evident in the development of weaponry. The deadly novelty of the American Civil War was the rifle, effective over five times the range of previous shoulder weapons. In World War I, tanks, submarines, and chemical weapons showed technology’s terrible potential for destruction: an estimated forty million military and civilian dead from war, famine, and epidemic, and twenty million wounded. With World War I, nationalism reached its first, horrifying climax, as modern nation-states pitted themselves against one another. Nineteenth-century confidence in progress — a response to the successes of technology — was thrown into question by technology itself.

By this time, however, confidence was shaken also by nontechnological developments. Men and women were moved to question their most basic assumptions about life by startling advances in physics, biology, and psychology.

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Sigmund Freud was an avid collector of antiquities, a student of the history of civilization and art as well as of psychology. Here, in a portrait of 1914, he is surrounded by some of his treasures from ancient Egypt, China, Greece, and Rome. Freud Museum, London, UK/Bridgeman Images.