The annual sales of a new company are expected to grow at a rate proportional to the difference between the sales at time t and an upper limit of $5 million. Suppose the sales are $0 initially and are $2 million after 4 years of operation. Determine the annual sales at any time t. How long will it take for the annual sales to reach $4 million?
Solution Since there are no sales initially (R=0), we use equation (4). Then since the upper limit of sales is $5 million, the sales at time t are y(t)=5(1−e−kt)M=5
Since sales are $2 million after 4 years, the boundary condition is y(4)=2. We use the boundary condition to find the constant k: 2=5(1−e−4k)y(4)=25e−4k=3e−4k=0.6k=ln0.6−4=−0.25ln0.6
So, the function y(t)=5(1−e(0.25ln0.6)t)
models the company's sales in year t.
To find out how long it will take for sales to reach $4 million, we solve the equation y(t)=4. Then 4=5(1−e(0.25ln0.6)t)5e(0.25ln0.6)t=1(0.25ln0.6)t=ln0.2t=ln0.20.25ln0.6≈12.6years
It will take approximately 12.6 years for annual sales to reach $4 million.